Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.362.73safe0.40–2.340.51–2.220.91–4.55safer0.15–2.590.28–2.450.43–5.03
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.268.83safe2.71–6.442.52–6.005.23–12.44safer2.22–6.932.05–6.474.27–13.39
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3213.0926.42safe9.40–17.259.53–16.6618.93–33.90safer8.31–18.348.57–17.6216.88–35.95
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.638.7117.34safe5.69–11.576.03–11.3911.72–22.97safer4.86–12.405.29–12.1310.15–24.53
Blocked shots
38%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.697.11safe1.54–5.302.04–5.343.58–10.65safer1.00–5.851.54–5.832.54–11.68
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.6510.02safe3.16–7.582.65–6.655.81–14.23safer2.58–8.162.12–7.194.70–15.34
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.0651.40safe42.27–55.8544.62–58.19safer40.60–57.5242.95–59.86
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction496492988safe429–563425–558854–1121safer411–581408–576818–1157
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction72.0776.15safe68.04–76.1071.83–80.48safer66.75–77.4070.52–81.78
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3010.7122.01safe8.47–14.147.76–13.6516.23–27.79safer7.71–14.907.01–14.4014.72–29.29
Offsides
54%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.293.33safe0.87–3.190.20–2.391.07–5.58safer0.57–3.490.00–2.680.48–6.17
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.853.77safe0.87–2.970.72–2.981.59–5.95safer0.61–3.240.43–3.271.04–6.51
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.076.01safe1.50–4.371.51–4.633.02–9.00safer1.12–4.761.09–5.052.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.44 2.22–6.93 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.83 5.23–12.44 4.27–13.39 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 13.09 9.53–16.66 8.57–17.62 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.69–11.57 4.86–12.40 | 8.71 6.03–11.39 5.29–12.13 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.30 1.00–5.85 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 38% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.58 2.58–8.16 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.19 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 49.06 42.27–55.85 40.60–57.52 | 51.40 44.62–58.19 42.95–59.86 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 496 429–563 411–581 | 492 425–558 408–576 | 988 854–1121 818–1157 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.07 68.04–76.10 66.75–77.40 | 76.15 71.83–80.48 70.52–81.78 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.47–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 10.71 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.01 16.23–27.79 14.72–29.29 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.12–4.76 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.