Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.433.05safe0.65–2.580.58–2.291.22–4.87safer0.39–2.830.35–2.510.74–5.35
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.589.53safe3.08–6.812.84–6.335.92–13.13safer2.59–7.302.38–6.794.97–14.09
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6611.6726.33safe10.74–18.588.10–15.2318.84–33.81safer9.64–19.687.15–16.1916.79–35.87
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.297.7517.04safe6.35–12.235.07–10.4311.42–22.66safer5.52–13.064.33–11.179.85–24.23
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.976.68safe1.82–5.581.32–4.633.14–10.21safer1.28–6.130.83–5.122.11–11.25
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.559.78safe3.01–7.442.55–6.555.56–13.99safer2.44–8.012.02–7.094.45–15.10
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.6545.93safe46.86–60.4439.15–52.72safer45.19–62.1137.48–54.39
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5274741001safe460–594408–541868–1135safer442–613390–558832–1171
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction73.9674.60safe69.93–77.9970.27–78.92safer68.64–79.2868.96–80.23
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8411.7722.61safe8.01–13.688.82–14.7116.83–28.39safer7.25–14.448.07–15.4615.32–29.90
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.093.61safe0.36–2.681.00–3.181.36–5.86safer0.06–2.980.71–3.470.77–6.45
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.723.32safe0.55–2.650.59–2.851.14–5.50safer0.29–2.920.30–3.140.59–6.06
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.456.22safe1.34–4.211.89–5.003.23–9.21safer0.95–4.601.47–5.432.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.08–6.81 2.59–7.30 | 4.58 2.84–6.33 2.38–6.79 | 9.53 5.92–13.13 4.97–14.09 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.74–18.58 9.64–19.68 | 11.67 8.10–15.23 7.15–16.19 | 26.33 18.84–33.81 16.79–35.87 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 17.04 11.42–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.28–6.13 | 2.97 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.68 3.14–10.21 2.11–11.25 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.09 | 9.78 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.10 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 53.65 46.86–60.44 45.19–62.11 | 45.93 39.15–52.72 37.48–54.39 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 527 460–594 442–613 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 1001 868–1135 832–1171 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.99 68.64–79.28 | 74.60 70.27–78.92 68.96–80.23 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.84 8.01–13.68 7.25–14.44 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 22.61 16.83–28.39 15.32–29.90 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.47–5.43 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+