Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.650.754.41safe2.69–4.620.00–1.612.58–6.23safer2.43–4.870.00–1.842.10–6.71
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.382.8012.18safe7.52–11.241.06–4.558.58–15.79safer7.03–11.730.59–5.017.62–16.74
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.657.9931.63safe19.72–27.574.42–11.5524.15–39.12safer18.63–28.663.46–12.5122.10–41.17
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.404.9020.30safe12.45–18.342.22–7.5814.67–25.92safer11.62–19.171.48–8.3213.11–27.49
Blocked shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction6.051.757.80safe4.17–7.930.10–3.404.27–11.34safer3.63–8.480.00–3.893.23–12.37
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.262.5311.78safe7.04–11.470.53–4.537.57–16.00safer6.47–12.040.00–5.066.46–17.10
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.3830.41safe62.59–76.1723.62–37.19safer60.92–77.8421.95–38.87
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7633691132safe696–831303–436999–1266safer678–849285–453963–1302
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction84.6770.93safe80.64–88.7066.60–75.25safer79.34–89.9965.29–76.56
Fouls
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6710.5618.23safe4.83–10.517.61–13.5012.44–24.01safer4.08–11.266.86–14.2510.94–25.51
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.074.40safe1.17–3.500.97–3.162.15–6.66safer0.87–3.800.69–3.451.56–7.25
Yellow cards
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.702.60safe0.00–1.940.57–2.830.42–4.78safer0.00–2.210.28–3.120.00–5.33
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
89%
homeawaytotalprediction2.045.897.93safe0.61–3.484.33–7.454.94–10.92safer0.22–3.873.91–7.874.13–11.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.65 2.69–4.62 2.43–4.87 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 4.41 2.58–6.23 2.10–6.71 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 9.38 7.52–11.24 7.03–11.73 | 2.80 1.06–4.55 0.59–5.01 | 12.18 8.58–15.79 7.62–16.74 | 96% |
| Total shots | 23.65 19.72–27.57 18.63–28.66 | 7.99 4.42–11.55 3.46–12.51 | 31.63 24.15–39.12 22.10–41.17 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.40 12.45–18.34 11.62–19.17 | 4.90 2.22–7.58 1.48–8.32 | 20.30 14.67–25.92 13.11–27.49 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.05 4.17–7.93 3.63–8.48 | 1.75 0.10–3.40 0.00–3.89 | 7.80 4.27–11.34 3.23–12.37 | 92% |
| Corners | 9.26 7.04–11.47 6.47–12.04 | 2.53 0.53–4.53 0.00–5.06 | 11.78 7.57–16.00 6.46–17.10 | 97% |
| Possession % | 69.38 62.59–76.17 60.92–77.84 | 30.41 23.62–37.19 21.95–38.87 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 763 696–831 678–849 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 1132 999–1266 963–1302 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.67 80.64–88.70 79.34–89.99 | 70.93 66.60–75.25 65.29–76.56 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 7.67 4.83–10.51 4.08–11.26 | 10.56 7.61–13.50 6.86–14.25 | 18.23 12.44–24.01 10.94–25.51 | 21% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.34 1.17–3.50 0.87–3.80 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 4.40 2.15–6.66 1.56–7.25 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 0.90 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.21 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 2.60 0.42–4.78 0.00–5.33 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 5.89 4.33–7.45 3.91–7.87 | 7.93 4.94–10.92 4.13–11.74 | 89% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.