Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.933.164.10safe0.00–1.902.31–4.022.27–5.92safer0.00–2.152.08–4.241.79–6.40
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction3.218.3711.58safe1.35–5.076.63–10.117.97–15.18safer0.86–5.566.16–10.587.02–16.14
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5619.3128.87safe5.64–13.4915.74–22.8721.38–36.36safer4.55–14.5814.78–23.8319.33–38.41
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8413.3219.16safe2.89–8.7810.64–16.0013.54–24.78safer2.06–9.619.90–16.7411.97–26.35
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.385.047.42safe0.50–4.263.39–6.693.88–10.96safer0.00–4.812.89–7.182.85–11.99
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.326.589.90safe1.11–5.534.58–8.585.69–14.11safer0.53–6.114.05–9.124.58–15.22
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction31.6569.16safe24.86–38.4562.38–75.95safer23.19–40.1160.71–77.62
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3557191074safe287–422653–786940–1207safer269–440635–803904–1243
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction66.9884.93safe62.95–71.0180.61–89.25safer61.66–72.3079.30–90.56
Fouls
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction11.368.5819.94safe8.52–14.205.64–11.5314.16–25.73safer7.77–14.954.89–12.2812.66–27.23
Offsides
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.274.57safe1.14–3.461.18–3.362.32–6.82safer0.84–3.760.89–3.651.73–7.41
Yellow cards
46%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.252.86safe0.56–2.660.12–2.380.68–5.04safer0.29–2.920.00–2.670.13–5.60
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.307.31safe3.57–6.440.75–3.864.32–10.30safer3.18–6.830.32–4.283.50–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 3.16 2.31–4.02 2.08–4.24 | 4.10 2.27–5.92 1.79–6.40 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 3.21 1.35–5.07 0.86–5.56 | 8.37 6.63–10.11 6.16–10.58 | 11.58 7.97–15.18 7.02–16.14 | 92% |
| Total shots | 9.56 5.64–13.49 4.55–14.58 | 19.31 15.74–22.87 14.78–23.83 | 28.87 21.38–36.36 19.33–38.41 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.84 2.89–8.78 2.06–9.61 | 13.32 10.64–16.00 9.90–16.74 | 19.16 13.54–24.78 11.97–26.35 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 2.38 0.50–4.26 0.00–4.81 | 5.04 3.39–6.69 2.89–7.18 | 7.42 3.88–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.32 1.11–5.53 0.53–6.11 | 6.58 4.58–8.58 4.05–9.12 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 81% |
| Possession % | 31.65 24.86–38.45 23.19–40.11 | 69.16 62.38–75.95 60.71–77.62 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 355 287–422 269–440 | 719 653–786 635–803 | 1074 940–1207 904–1243 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.98 62.95–71.01 61.66–72.30 | 84.93 80.61–89.25 79.30–90.56 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.52–14.20 7.77–14.95 | 8.58 5.64–11.53 4.89–12.28 | 19.94 14.16–25.73 12.66–27.23 | 69% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 2.27 1.18–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 4.57 2.32–6.82 1.73–7.41 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.25 0.12–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.86 0.68–5.04 0.13–5.60 | 46% 25% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 5.01 3.57–6.44 3.18–6.83 | 2.30 0.75–3.86 0.32–4.28 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.50–11.11 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.