Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.112.83safe0.76–2.690.25–1.961.01–4.66safer0.51–2.940.03–2.190.53–5.14
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.739.52safe3.93–7.651.98–5.475.91–13.12safer3.44–8.141.52–5.934.96–14.08
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7610.2827.04safe12.83–20.686.72–13.8419.55–34.52safer11.74–21.775.76–14.8017.50–36.58
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.786.6118.38safe8.84–14.723.93–9.2912.76–24.01safer8.01–15.553.19–10.0211.19–25.57
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.487.21safe2.85–6.610.83–4.143.68–10.75safer2.31–7.160.34–4.632.64–11.79
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.9510.49safe4.32–8.751.95–5.956.27–14.70safer3.75–9.321.42–6.485.17–15.81
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.6940.33safe53.90–67.4833.54–47.11safer52.23–69.1531.87–48.78
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction517343860safe449–584277–410726–994safer431–602259–427691–1029
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction72.0864.89safe68.05–76.1160.56–69.21safer66.76–77.4159.25–70.52
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5813.6424.21safe7.74–13.4110.69–16.5818.43–29.99safer6.98–14.179.94–17.3316.93–31.50
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.583.34safe0.60–2.920.49–2.671.09–5.59safer0.30–3.220.20–2.960.50–6.18
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.393.95safe0.52–2.621.26–3.521.78–6.13safer0.25–2.880.97–3.811.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.906.38safe1.05–3.922.35–5.463.39–9.38safer0.66–4.301.92–5.882.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.69 0.51–2.94 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.93–7.65 3.44–8.14 | 3.73 1.98–5.47 1.52–5.93 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.76 12.83–20.68 11.74–21.77 | 10.28 6.72–13.84 5.76–14.80 | 27.04 19.55–34.52 17.50–36.58 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.78 8.84–14.72 8.01–15.55 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.02 | 18.38 12.76–24.01 11.19–25.57 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 2.48 0.83–4.14 0.34–4.63 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.79 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.54 4.32–8.75 3.75–9.32 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.48 | 10.49 6.27–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 60.69 53.90–67.48 52.23–69.15 | 40.33 33.54–47.11 31.87–48.78 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 517 449–584 431–602 | 343 277–410 259–427 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.08 68.05–76.11 66.76–77.41 | 64.89 60.56–69.21 59.25–70.52 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.74–13.41 6.98–14.17 | 13.64 10.69–16.58 9.94–17.33 | 24.21 18.43–29.99 16.93–31.50 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 3.90 2.35–5.46 1.92–5.88 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+