Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.752.98safe0.26–2.190.90–2.611.15–4.80safer0.00–2.440.67–2.840.67–5.28
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.085.239.30safe2.21–5.943.48–6.975.70–12.91safer1.72–6.433.02–7.434.74–13.86
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8014.4027.21safe8.88–16.7310.84–17.9719.72–34.69safer7.79–17.829.88–18.9217.67–36.74
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.999.4617.45safe5.05–10.936.78–12.1411.83–23.08safer4.22–11.766.05–12.8810.26–24.64
Blocked shots
27%
13%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.374.597.96safe1.49–5.252.94–6.244.43–11.50safer0.95–5.802.45–6.743.39–12.53
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.6510.57safe2.71–7.133.65–7.656.36–14.78safer2.13–7.713.12–8.185.25–15.89
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction45.0256.27safe38.23–51.8149.48–63.05safer36.56–53.4847.81–64.72
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction387471857safe319–454404–537724–991safer301–472387–555688–1027
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.3873.97safe61.35–69.4069.65–78.30safer60.05–70.7068.34–79.61
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4211.1423.56safe9.58–15.268.19–14.0817.77–29.34safer8.83–16.017.44–14.8316.27–30.84
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.813.47safe0.50–2.820.72–2.911.22–5.72safer0.19–3.120.43–3.200.63–6.31
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.803.70safe0.86–2.960.67–2.931.53–5.88safer0.59–3.220.38–3.220.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.492.936.41safe2.05–4.921.37–4.483.42–9.40safer1.66–5.310.94–4.912.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.84 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.08 2.21–5.94 1.72–6.43 | 5.23 3.48–6.97 3.02–7.43 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.80 8.88–16.73 7.79–17.82 | 14.40 10.84–17.97 9.88–18.92 | 27.21 19.72–34.69 17.67–36.74 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.05–10.93 4.22–11.76 | 9.46 6.78–12.14 6.05–12.88 | 17.45 11.83–23.08 10.26–24.64 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.95–5.80 | 4.59 2.94–6.24 2.45–6.74 | 7.96 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 27% 13% 60% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.13 2.13–7.71 | 5.65 3.65–7.65 3.12–8.18 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 45.02 38.23–51.81 36.56–53.48 | 56.27 49.48–63.05 47.81–64.72 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 387 319–454 301–472 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 857 724–991 688–1027 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.38 61.35–69.40 60.05–70.70 | 73.97 69.65–78.30 68.34–79.61 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.26 8.83–16.01 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 23.56 17.77–29.34 16.27–30.84 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.05–4.92 1.66–5.31 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.91 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 51% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.