Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.682.70safe0.06–1.990.82–2.530.88–4.53safer0.00–2.240.60–2.760.40–5.01
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.205.259.45safe2.33–6.063.51–6.995.84–13.05safer1.85–6.553.04–7.464.89–14.01
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4015.2228.62safe9.47–17.3211.66–18.7821.13–36.11safer8.38–18.4110.70–19.7419.08–38.16
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.779.9418.70safe5.82–11.717.26–12.6213.08–24.33safer5.00–12.546.52–13.3611.51–25.89
Blocked shots
36%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.037.57safe1.67–5.432.37–5.684.04–11.11safer1.12–5.971.88–6.173.00–12.15
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.4710.25safe2.56–6.993.47–7.476.03–14.46safer1.99–7.562.94–8.014.93–15.57
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.3563.46safe29.56–43.1456.67–70.24safer27.89–44.8155.00–71.91
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction324582906safe257–391516–649772–1040safer239–409498–666737–1075
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction60.2576.20safe56.22–64.2871.88–80.53safer54.93–65.5770.57–81.83
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0511.3823.44safe9.22–14.898.44–14.3317.65–29.22safer8.46–15.657.69–15.0816.15–30.72
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.933.69safe0.60–2.920.83–3.021.44–5.94safer0.30–3.220.54–3.310.85–6.53
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.663.56safe0.85–2.950.53–2.791.38–5.74safer0.58–3.210.24–3.080.82–6.30
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.946.74safe2.37–5.241.38–4.493.75–9.73safer1.98–5.630.96–4.922.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.60–2.76 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.33–6.06 1.85–6.55 | 5.25 3.51–6.99 3.04–7.46 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 15.22 11.66–18.78 10.70–19.74 | 28.62 21.13–36.11 19.08–38.16 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.77 5.82–11.71 5.00–12.54 | 9.94 7.26–12.62 6.52–13.36 | 18.70 13.08–24.33 11.51–25.89 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 4.03 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.15 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.01 | 10.25 6.03–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 36.35 29.56–43.14 27.89–44.81 | 63.46 56.67–70.24 55.00–71.91 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–409 | 582 516–649 498–666 | 906 772–1040 737–1075 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.25 56.22–64.28 54.93–65.57 | 76.20 71.88–80.53 70.57–81.83 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.22–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 11.38 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.08 | 23.44 17.65–29.22 16.15–30.72 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.69 1.44–5.94 0.85–6.53 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.30 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 6.74 3.75–9.73 2.94–10.55 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+