Ligue 1·Regular Season - 18·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.943.11safe1.20–3.130.09–1.801.29–4.93safer0.95–3.390.00–2.030.81–5.41
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.519.89safe4.52–8.251.77–5.256.29–13.50safer4.03–8.741.30–5.725.33–14.45
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4910.9228.41safe13.56–21.417.36–14.4820.92–35.89safer12.47–22.506.40–15.4418.87–37.94
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.467.1418.60safe8.52–14.404.46–9.8212.97–24.22safer7.69–15.233.72–10.5611.41–25.79
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.157.70safe2.67–6.441.49–4.804.17–11.24safer2.13–6.981.00–5.293.13–12.27
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.234.2610.49safe4.02–8.442.26–6.266.28–14.70safer3.44–9.021.73–6.795.17–15.81
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.9136.17safe58.12–71.7029.38–42.95safer56.45–73.3727.71–44.62
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction644329973safe577–711262–395839–1106safer559–729245–413803–1142
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction73.7165.13safe69.68–77.7460.81–69.46safer68.39–79.0359.50–70.77
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3012.4523.75safe8.46–14.149.51–15.4017.97–29.53safer7.71–14.898.76–16.1416.46–31.04
Offsides
44%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.573.39safe0.66–2.980.48–2.661.13–5.64safer0.36–3.280.19–2.950.54–6.23
Yellow cards
27%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.933.30safe0.32–2.420.80–3.061.12–5.48safer0.06–2.690.51–3.350.56–6.03
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.186.82safe1.20–4.082.62–5.743.83–9.81safer0.82–4.462.20–6.163.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.13 0.95–3.39 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 65% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.38 4.52–8.25 4.03–8.74 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 9.89 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.45 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.49 13.56–21.41 12.47–22.50 | 10.92 7.36–14.48 6.40–15.44 | 28.41 20.92–35.89 18.87–37.94 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.46 8.52–14.40 7.69–15.23 | 7.14 4.46–9.82 3.72–10.56 | 18.60 12.97–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 3.15 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.44 3.44–9.02 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.79 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 64.91 58.12–71.70 56.45–73.37 | 36.17 29.38–42.95 27.71–44.62 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 644 577–711 559–729 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.71 69.68–77.74 68.39–79.03 | 65.13 60.81–69.46 59.50–70.77 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.14 7.71–14.89 | 12.45 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.14 | 23.75 17.97–29.53 16.46–31.04 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 44% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.03 | 27% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.08 0.82–4.46 | 4.18 2.62–5.74 2.20–6.16 | 6.82 3.83–9.81 3.02–10.63 | 21% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.