Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.723.03safe0.34–2.270.87–2.581.21–4.85safer0.09–2.520.64–2.810.73–5.33
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.229.70safe2.61–6.343.48–6.966.09–13.30safer2.12–6.833.01–7.435.14–14.26
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1714.8429.01safe10.25–18.1011.28–18.4021.52–36.50safer9.16–19.1910.32–19.3619.47–38.55
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.199.5918.78safe6.25–12.136.91–12.2713.16–24.40safer5.42–12.966.17–13.0111.59–25.97
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.158.26safe2.23–5.992.50–5.804.72–11.79safer1.68–6.532.00–6.293.69–12.83
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.2410.47safe3.02–7.453.24–7.246.26–14.69safer2.45–8.022.70–7.775.15–15.79
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction46.0055.05safe39.21–52.7948.27–61.84safer37.54–54.4646.60–63.51
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction417506923safe350–484439–572789–1056safer331–502422–590753–1092
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.9775.59safe61.94–69.9971.26–79.91safer60.64–71.2969.95–81.22
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2012.0623.26safe8.36–14.039.11–15.0017.47–29.04safer7.60–14.798.37–15.7515.97–30.54
Offsides
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.953.63safe0.52–2.840.85–3.041.37–5.88safer0.22–3.140.57–3.330.79–6.47
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.943.85safe0.86–2.960.81–3.071.67–6.03safer0.59–3.220.52–3.361.11–6.58
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.036.58safe2.11–4.981.47–4.583.58–9.57safer1.72–5.371.05–5.012.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 9.70 6.09–13.30 5.14–14.26 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.17 10.25–18.10 9.16–19.19 | 14.84 11.28–18.40 10.32–19.36 | 29.01 21.52–36.50 19.47–38.55 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.25–12.13 5.42–12.96 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 18.78 13.16–24.40 11.59–25.97 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 8.26 4.72–11.79 3.69–12.83 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.70–7.77 | 10.47 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.79 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.00 39.21–52.79 37.54–54.46 | 55.05 48.27–61.84 46.60–63.51 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 331–502 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.97 61.94–69.99 60.64–71.29 | 75.59 71.26–79.91 69.95–81.22 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.37–15.75 | 23.26 17.47–29.04 15.97–30.54 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.05–5.01 | 6.58 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+