Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.143.18safe1.07–3.010.28–1.991.35–5.00safer0.82–3.260.06–2.220.87–5.48
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.774.4011.17safe4.91–8.632.65–6.147.56–14.77safer4.42–9.122.19–6.616.61–15.73
Total shots
81%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5512.3229.86safe13.62–21.478.75–15.8822.37–37.35safer12.53–22.567.79–16.8420.32–39.40
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.778.2520.02safe8.83–14.715.57–10.9314.40–25.65safer8.00–15.544.83–11.6712.83–27.21
Blocked shots
51%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.028.61safe2.70–6.472.37–5.685.07–12.15safer2.16–7.011.88–6.174.04–13.18
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.3710.59safe4.01–8.432.37–6.376.37–14.80safer3.43–9.011.83–6.905.27–15.91
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7644.96safe47.97–61.5538.18–51.75safer46.30–63.2236.51–53.42
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction558425982safe490–625358–491849–1116safer472–643341–509813–1152
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction71.1272.28safe67.09–75.1567.95–76.60safer65.80–76.4466.65–77.91
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9411.3323.27safe9.10–14.788.38–14.2717.49–29.05safer8.35–15.537.63–15.0215.98–30.55
Offsides
45%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.543.37safe0.67–2.990.45–2.641.12–5.62safer0.37–3.290.16–2.920.53–6.21
Yellow cards
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.993.42safe0.38–2.480.86–3.121.24–5.60safer0.11–2.740.57–3.410.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.864.437.29safe1.42–4.302.88–5.994.30–10.29safer1.04–4.682.45–6.413.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.91–8.63 4.42–9.12 | 4.40 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.61 | 11.17 7.56–14.77 6.61–15.73 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.55 13.62–21.47 12.53–22.56 | 12.32 8.75–15.88 7.79–16.84 | 29.86 22.37–37.35 20.32–39.40 | 81% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.77 8.83–14.71 8.00–15.54 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.83–11.67 | 20.02 14.40–25.65 12.83–27.21 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 4.02 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 8.61 5.07–12.15 4.04–13.18 | 51% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.59 6.37–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.76 47.97–61.55 46.30–63.22 | 44.96 38.18–51.75 36.51–53.42 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 558 490–625 472–643 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 982 849–1116 813–1152 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.12 67.09–75.15 65.80–76.44 | 72.28 67.95–76.60 66.65–77.91 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.78 8.35–15.53 | 11.33 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 23.27 17.49–29.05 15.98–30.55 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 45% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 4.43 2.88–5.99 2.45–6.41 | 7.29 4.30–10.29 3.49–11.10 | 22% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.