Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.252.68safe0.47–2.400.39–2.100.86–4.51safer0.22–2.660.17–2.330.38–4.99
Shots on target
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.988.71safe2.87–6.602.23–5.725.11–12.32safer2.38–7.091.77–6.184.15–13.27
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2411.6625.89safe10.31–18.168.10–15.2218.41–33.38safer9.22–19.257.14–16.1816.36–35.43
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.017.4116.42safe6.06–11.954.73–10.0910.80–22.04safer5.24–12.783.99–10.839.23–23.61
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.886.55safe1.78–5.551.23–4.543.01–10.08safer1.24–6.090.74–5.031.98–11.12
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.5510.36safe3.60–8.032.55–6.556.15–14.57safer3.03–8.602.01–7.085.04–15.68
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.9747.54safe46.18–59.7640.75–54.32safer44.51–61.4339.08–55.99
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction442386828safe375–509320–453695–962safer357–527302–470659–998
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction66.5667.43safe62.53–70.5963.11–71.76safer61.24–71.8861.80–73.07
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4214.2825.70safe8.58–14.2611.33–17.2219.92–31.48safer7.83–15.0210.59–17.9718.41–32.99
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.953.70safe0.59–2.910.86–3.041.44–5.95safer0.29–3.210.57–3.330.85–6.54
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.113.76safe0.60–2.700.98–3.241.58–5.94safer0.33–2.970.69–3.531.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.155.90safe1.32–4.191.59–4.702.91–8.90safer0.93–4.581.17–5.132.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 3.98 2.23–5.72 1.77–6.18 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 11.66 8.10–15.22 7.14–16.18 | 25.89 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.01 6.06–11.95 5.24–12.78 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 16.42 10.80–22.04 9.23–23.61 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 2.88 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.60 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 10.36 6.15–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.97 46.18–59.76 44.51–61.43 | 47.54 40.75–54.32 39.08–55.99 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 357–527 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 828 695–962 659–998 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.56 62.53–70.59 61.24–71.88 | 67.43 63.11–71.76 61.80–73.07 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.58–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 14.28 11.33–17.22 10.59–17.97 | 25.70 19.92–31.48 18.41–32.99 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.97 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.15 1.59–4.70 1.17–5.13 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.