Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.422.82safe0.43–2.360.57–2.281.00–4.64safer0.18–2.620.34–2.510.52–5.12
Shots on target
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.509.23safe2.87–6.592.76–6.245.63–12.84safer2.38–7.082.29–6.714.67–13.79
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2112.4126.62safe10.28–18.138.85–15.9819.13–34.11safer9.19–19.227.89–16.9417.08–36.16
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.448.2217.66safe6.49–12.385.54–10.9012.04–23.28safer5.66–13.214.80–11.6410.47–24.85
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.397.07safe1.80–5.561.74–5.043.53–10.60safer1.25–6.111.24–5.532.50–11.64
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.9610.41safe3.24–7.662.96–6.966.20–14.62safer2.66–8.242.43–7.495.09–15.73
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2849.00safe44.49–58.0742.21–55.78safer42.82–59.7440.54–57.45
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction440411851safe373–507344–477717–984safer355–526327–495681–1020
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.8869.95safe64.85–72.9165.62–74.27safer63.56–74.2064.31–75.58
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9111.8224.72safe10.07–15.748.87–14.7618.94–30.51safer9.31–16.508.12–15.5117.44–32.01
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.703.69safe0.83–3.150.61–2.801.44–5.95safer0.53–3.450.32–3.090.85–6.54
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.823.41safe0.55–2.650.69–2.941.23–5.59safer0.28–2.910.40–3.240.68–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.356.27safe1.48–4.351.79–4.913.28–9.26safer1.09–4.741.37–5.332.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 12.41 8.85–15.98 7.89–16.94 | 26.62 19.13–34.11 17.08–36.16 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.49–12.38 5.66–13.21 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 17.66 12.04–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.25–6.11 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.49 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.28 44.49–58.07 42.82–59.74 | 49.00 42.21–55.78 40.54–57.45 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–526 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.88 64.85–72.91 63.56–74.20 | 69.95 65.62–74.27 64.31–75.58 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.07–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 11.82 8.87–14.76 8.12–15.51 | 24.72 18.94–30.51 17.44–32.01 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.82 0.69–2.94 0.40–3.24 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.