Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.492.89safe0.44–2.370.63–2.341.07–4.71safer0.18–2.620.40–2.570.59–5.19
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.039.84safe2.95–6.683.29–6.776.24–13.45safer2.46–7.172.82–7.245.28–14.40
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0813.7127.78safe10.15–18.0010.14–17.2720.30–35.27safer9.06–19.099.18–18.2318.24–37.32
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.068.8917.94safe6.11–12.006.21–11.5712.32–23.57safer5.28–12.835.47–12.3110.75–25.13
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.196.71safe1.64–5.411.53–4.843.17–10.25safer1.10–5.951.04–5.332.14–11.28
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.8510.49safe3.42–7.852.85–6.856.28–14.70safer2.85–8.432.32–7.385.17–15.81
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6349.47safe43.84–57.4242.68–56.25safer42.17–59.0941.01–57.92
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction483467950safe416–550400–533816–1084safer398–569383–551781–1119
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction70.6673.63safe66.63–74.6969.30–77.95safer65.34–75.9867.99–79.26
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5012.9925.49safe9.66–15.3410.04–15.9319.71–31.27safer8.91–16.109.29–16.6818.20–32.78
Offsides
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.163.98safe0.66–2.981.07–3.261.73–6.23safer0.36–3.280.78–3.541.14–6.82
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.223.97safe0.70–2.801.09–3.351.80–6.15safer0.44–3.070.80–3.641.24–6.71
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.356.62safe1.84–4.711.80–4.913.63–9.62safer1.45–5.101.37–5.332.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 5.03 3.29–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 9.84 6.24–13.45 5.28–14.40 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.08 10.15–18.00 9.06–19.09 | 13.71 10.14–17.27 9.18–18.23 | 27.78 20.30–35.27 18.24–37.32 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.11–12.00 5.28–12.83 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 17.94 12.32–23.57 10.75–25.13 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 6.71 3.17–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.43 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 50.63 43.84–57.42 42.17–59.09 | 49.47 42.68–56.25 41.01–57.92 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–569 | 467 400–533 383–551 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.66 66.63–74.69 65.34–75.98 | 73.63 69.30–77.95 67.99–79.26 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.50 9.66–15.34 8.91–16.10 | 12.99 10.04–15.93 9.29–16.68 | 25.49 19.71–31.27 18.20–32.78 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.54 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.62 3.63–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+