Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.122.79safe0.70–2.640.26–1.970.97–4.61safer0.45–2.890.04–2.200.49–5.09
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.069.23safe3.31–7.032.31–5.805.62–12.83safer2.82–7.521.85–6.274.66–13.79
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9211.5326.45safe10.99–18.847.97–15.0918.96–33.93safer9.90–19.937.01–16.0516.91–35.98
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction10.197.7817.97safe7.25–13.135.10–10.4612.34–23.59safer6.42–13.964.36–11.1910.78–25.16
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.656.66safe2.12–5.891.00–4.303.12–10.19safer1.58–6.430.51–4.802.09–11.23
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.3610.17safe3.59–8.022.36–6.365.95–14.38safer3.02–8.591.83–6.904.85–15.49
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.6640.82safe53.87–67.4534.04–47.61safer52.20–69.1232.36–49.28
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction579380959safe512–646313–446825–1092safer494–665296–464789–1128
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction73.3968.78safe69.36–77.4264.46–73.11safer68.07–78.7163.15–74.42
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5414.9026.44safe8.70–14.3811.95–17.8420.65–32.22safer7.95–15.1311.20–18.5919.15–33.72
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.893.96safe0.91–3.230.80–2.991.71–6.21safer0.60–3.530.51–3.281.12–6.80
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.464.15safe0.64–2.741.33–3.591.97–6.33safer0.37–3.001.04–3.881.42–6.89
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.456.08safe1.20–4.071.89–5.013.09–9.08safer0.81–4.461.47–5.432.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.03 2.82–7.52 | 4.06 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.79 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.92 10.99–18.84 9.90–19.93 | 11.53 7.97–15.09 7.01–16.05 | 26.45 18.96–33.93 16.91–35.98 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.19 7.25–13.13 6.42–13.96 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.19 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.51–4.80 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.90 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 60.66 53.87–67.45 52.20–69.12 | 40.82 34.04–47.61 32.36–49.28 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 579 512–646 494–665 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 959 825–1092 789–1128 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.39 69.36–77.42 68.07–78.71 | 68.78 64.46–73.11 63.15–74.42 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.13 | 14.90 11.95–17.84 11.20–18.59 | 26.44 20.65–32.22 19.15–33.72 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.60–3.53 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.96 1.71–6.21 1.12–6.80 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 6.08 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.