Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.442.59safe0.19–2.120.58–2.290.77–4.42safer0.00–2.380.36–2.520.29–4.90
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.699.02safe2.46–6.192.95–6.445.41–12.62safer1.97–6.682.48–6.904.46–13.58
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9712.5626.52safe10.04–17.898.99–16.1219.04–34.01safer8.95–18.988.03–17.0816.98–36.06
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.098.7217.80safe6.15–12.036.03–11.4012.18–23.43safer5.32–12.865.30–12.1310.61–24.99
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.416.98safe1.69–5.451.76–5.063.44–10.51safer1.14–5.991.26–5.552.41–11.55
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.619.89safe3.07–7.492.61–6.615.67–14.10safer2.49–8.072.07–7.144.57–15.21
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction42.8756.03safe36.08–49.6649.25–62.82safer34.41–51.3347.58–64.49
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction398514912safe331–465448–580778–1046safer313–484430–598743–1082
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction66.1774.46safe62.14–70.2070.14–78.79safer60.85–71.4968.83–80.10
Fouls
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1211.1526.27safe12.28–17.968.21–14.1020.49–32.05safer11.53–18.717.46–14.8518.99–33.56
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.913.96safe0.88–3.200.82–3.011.70–6.21safer0.58–3.500.53–3.301.11–6.80
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.763.72safe0.91–3.010.63–2.891.54–5.90safer0.64–3.270.34–3.180.99–6.46
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.006.17safe1.73–4.611.45–4.563.18–9.17safer1.35–4.991.02–4.982.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.36–2.52 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 4.69 2.95–6.44 2.48–6.90 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.04–17.89 8.95–18.98 | 12.56 8.99–16.12 8.03–17.08 | 26.52 19.04–34.01 16.98–36.06 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.15–12.03 5.32–12.86 | 8.72 6.03–11.40 5.30–12.13 | 17.80 12.18–23.43 10.61–24.99 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 6.98 3.44–10.51 2.41–11.55 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 42.87 36.08–49.66 34.41–51.33 | 56.03 49.25–62.82 47.58–64.49 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 398 331–465 313–484 | 514 448–580 430–598 | 912 778–1046 743–1082 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.17 62.14–70.20 60.85–71.49 | 74.46 70.14–78.79 68.83–80.10 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.12 12.28–17.96 11.53–18.71 | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 26.27 20.49–32.05 18.99–33.56 | 75% 19% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 3.96 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.61 1.35–4.99 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 44% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.