Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.842.95safe1.14–3.080.00–1.691.12–4.77safer0.89–3.330.00–1.920.64–5.25
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.019.11safe4.24–7.971.27–4.755.51–12.72safer3.75–8.460.80–5.224.55–13.68
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.468.1524.62safe12.54–20.394.59–11.7217.13–32.10safer11.45–21.483.63–12.6815.08–34.16
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.305.2216.52safe8.36–14.242.54–7.9010.90–22.14safer7.53–15.071.80–8.649.33–23.71
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.306.59safe2.41–6.180.65–3.953.06–10.13safer1.87–6.720.15–4.442.02–11.17
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.363.529.88safe4.15–8.581.52–5.525.67–14.10safer3.57–9.150.99–6.064.56–15.20
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.3843.15safe49.59–63.1736.37–49.94safer47.92–64.8434.69–51.61
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction551445996safe484–618379–512863–1130safer466–636361–529827–1166
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction76.9373.32safe72.90–80.9669.00–77.64safer71.61–82.2567.69–78.95
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3012.5222.82safe7.46–13.149.58–15.4717.04–28.61safer6.71–13.908.83–16.2215.54–30.11
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.863.54safe0.52–2.840.77–2.961.29–5.79safer0.22–3.140.48–3.240.70–6.38
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.043.46safe0.37–2.470.91–3.171.28–5.64safer0.11–2.740.62–3.460.73–6.20
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.986.16safe0.74–3.612.43–5.543.16–9.15safer0.35–4.002.00–5.962.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.24–7.97 3.75–8.46 | 3.01 1.27–4.75 0.80–5.22 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.68 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.46 12.54–20.39 11.45–21.48 | 8.15 4.59–11.72 3.63–12.68 | 24.62 17.13–32.10 15.08–34.16 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.24 7.53–15.07 | 5.22 2.54–7.90 1.80–8.64 | 16.52 10.90–22.14 9.33–23.71 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 2.30 0.65–3.95 0.15–4.44 | 6.59 3.06–10.13 2.02–11.17 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.15–8.58 3.57–9.15 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.99–6.06 | 9.88 5.67–14.10 4.56–15.20 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 56.38 49.59–63.17 47.92–64.84 | 43.15 36.37–49.94 34.69–51.61 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 551 484–618 466–636 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 996 863–1130 827–1166 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.93 72.90–80.96 71.61–82.25 | 73.32 69.00–77.64 67.69–78.95 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.46–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 22.82 17.04–28.61 15.54–30.11 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.98 2.43–5.54 2.00–5.96 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.