Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.852.85safe0.03–1.971.00–2.711.03–4.67safer0.00–2.220.77–2.930.55–5.15
Shots on target
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.504.998.49safe1.63–5.363.25–6.734.88–12.09safer1.14–5.852.78–7.203.93–13.05
Total shots
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7814.2124.99safe6.85–14.7010.65–17.7717.50–32.48safer5.76–15.799.69–18.7315.45–34.53
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.429.9616.37safe3.48–9.367.27–12.6410.75–22.00safer2.65–10.196.54–13.379.18–23.56
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.544.346.88safe0.66–4.422.69–5.993.35–10.42safer0.12–4.972.19–6.482.31–11.45
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.509.61safe1.89–6.323.50–7.505.40–13.82safer1.32–6.892.97–8.034.29–14.93
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.4754.64safe38.68–52.2647.86–61.43safer37.01–53.9346.18–63.10
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction451511962safe384–519444–577828–1096safer366–537427–595793–1131
Pass accuracy %
14%
82%
homeawayprediction70.5578.26safe66.52–74.5873.94–82.58safer65.23–75.8772.63–83.89
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9510.5722.52safe9.12–14.797.63–13.5216.74–28.31safer8.36–15.556.88–14.2615.24–29.81
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.533.38safe0.69–3.020.44–2.621.13–5.64safer0.39–3.320.15–2.910.54–6.23
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.733.58safe0.80–2.900.60–2.861.40–5.76safer0.54–3.170.31–3.150.84–6.31
Red cards
13%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.87
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.656.05safe1.97–4.841.09–4.213.06–9.04safer1.58–5.230.67–4.632.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.50 1.63–5.36 1.14–5.85 | 4.99 3.25–6.73 2.78–7.20 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.93–13.05 | 24% 63% |
| Total shots | 10.78 6.85–14.70 5.76–15.79 | 14.21 10.65–17.77 9.69–18.73 | 24.99 17.50–32.48 15.45–34.53 | 21% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.42 3.48–9.36 2.65–10.19 | 9.96 7.27–12.64 6.54–13.37 | 16.37 10.75–22.00 9.18–23.56 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.54 0.66–4.42 0.12–4.97 | 4.34 2.69–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 6.88 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.45 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.89–6.32 1.32–6.89 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.03 | 9.61 5.40–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.47 38.68–52.26 37.01–53.93 | 54.64 47.86–61.43 46.18–63.10 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 962 828–1096 793–1131 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.55 66.52–74.58 65.23–75.87 | 78.26 73.94–82.58 72.63–83.89 | — | 14% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.12–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.26 | 22.52 16.74–28.31 15.24–29.81 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 13% 80% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 2.65 1.09–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.86 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.