Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.292.82safe0.56–2.490.44–2.151.00–4.64safer0.31–2.740.21–2.380.52–5.12
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.159.29safe3.28–7.002.40–5.895.68–12.89safer2.79–7.491.94–6.354.73–13.85
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7112.6027.31safe10.78–18.639.04–16.1619.82–34.80safer9.69–19.738.08–17.1217.77–36.85
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.128.3917.51safe6.18–12.065.71–11.0711.89–23.13safer5.35–12.894.97–11.8110.32–24.70
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.767.30safe1.65–5.422.11–5.423.76–10.83safer1.11–5.961.62–5.912.73–11.87
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.609.58safe2.76–7.192.60–6.605.36–13.79safer2.19–7.762.07–7.134.26–14.90
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.8048.19safe46.01–59.5941.40–54.97safer44.34–61.2639.73–56.64
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction489453943safe422–557387–520809–1076safer404–575369–537773–1112
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction68.7973.72safe64.76–72.8269.40–78.04safer63.47–74.1168.09–79.35
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6911.9423.63safe8.85–14.539.00–14.8917.85–29.42safer8.10–15.298.25–15.6416.35–30.92
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.503.09safe0.44–2.760.41–2.590.84–5.35safer0.13–3.060.12–2.880.25–5.94
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.174.22safe1.00–3.101.04–3.302.04–6.40safer0.73–3.360.75–3.591.48–6.95
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.556.63safe1.65–4.521.99–5.113.64–9.62safer1.26–4.911.57–5.532.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.74 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.28–7.00 2.79–7.49 | 4.15 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.78–18.63 9.69–19.73 | 12.60 9.04–16.16 8.08–17.12 | 27.31 19.82–34.80 17.77–36.85 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 8.39 5.71–11.07 4.97–11.81 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 3.76 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.30 3.76–10.83 2.73–11.87 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.13 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.80 46.01–59.59 44.34–61.26 | 48.19 41.40–54.97 39.73–56.64 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 453 387–520 369–537 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.79 64.76–72.82 63.47–74.11 | 73.72 69.40–78.04 68.09–79.35 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.63 17.85–29.42 16.35–30.92 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.