Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.322.80safe0.51–2.450.46–2.170.98–4.62safer0.26–2.700.24–2.400.50–5.10
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.399.38safe3.13–6.852.65–6.145.78–12.99safer2.64–7.342.18–6.604.82–13.94
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7511.4027.15safe11.83–19.687.84–14.9619.67–34.64safer10.74–20.776.88–15.9217.61–36.69
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.807.4617.26safe6.86–12.754.78–10.1411.64–22.88safer6.03–13.584.04–10.8810.07–24.45
Blocked shots
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.357.99safe2.76–6.531.69–5.004.45–11.52safer2.22–7.071.20–5.493.42–12.56
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.039.79safe3.54–7.972.03–6.035.58–14.00safer2.97–8.551.50–6.574.47–15.11
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.2649.48safe44.47–58.0542.70–56.27safer42.80–59.7241.03–57.94
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction492479971safe424–559413–546837–1104safer406–577395–563801–1140
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction70.6072.56safe66.57–74.6368.24–76.88safer65.27–75.9266.93–78.19
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4112.3723.78safe8.58–14.259.42–15.3118.00–29.56safer7.82–15.018.68–16.0616.49–31.07
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.513.09safe0.42–2.750.41–2.600.84–5.35safer0.12–3.050.13–2.890.25–5.94
Yellow cards
27%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.384.06safe0.63–2.731.25–3.511.88–6.24safer0.36–3.000.96–3.801.32–6.80
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.396.27safe1.44–4.321.84–4.953.28–9.26safer1.06–4.701.41–5.372.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.18–6.60 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.83–19.68 10.74–20.77 | 11.40 7.84–14.96 6.88–15.92 | 27.15 19.67–34.64 17.61–36.69 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.75 6.03–13.58 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 17.26 11.64–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 61% 26% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.55 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.57 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 51.26 44.47–58.05 42.80–59.72 | 49.48 42.70–56.27 41.03–57.94 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 971 837–1104 801–1140 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.60 66.57–74.63 65.27–75.92 | 72.56 68.24–76.88 66.93–78.19 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.68–16.06 | 23.78 18.00–29.56 16.49–31.07 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.80 | 27% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.32 1.06–4.70 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.