Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.983.034.01safe0.01–1.952.17–3.882.18–5.83safer0.00–2.201.94–4.111.70–6.31
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.847.4511.29safe1.98–5.715.71–9.197.69–14.90safer1.49–6.205.24–9.666.73–15.85
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4817.7528.23safe6.55–14.4014.19–21.3120.74–35.72safer5.46–15.5013.23–22.2718.69–37.77
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2712.9519.22safe3.32–9.2110.27–15.6313.60–24.84safer2.50–10.049.53–16.3712.03–26.41
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.584.807.38safe0.70–4.463.14–6.453.84–10.91safer0.16–5.012.65–6.942.81–11.95
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.666.149.79safe1.44–5.874.14–8.145.58–14.01safer0.87–6.443.60–8.674.47–15.11
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction34.4166.74safe27.62–41.2059.96–73.53safer25.95–42.8758.28–75.20
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3696991069safe302–437633–766935–1203safer284–455616–783900–1238
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction67.6784.84safe63.65–71.7080.51–89.16safer62.35–73.0079.20–90.47
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.959.5520.49safe8.11–13.786.60–12.4914.71–26.27safer7.35–14.545.85–13.2413.20–27.78
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.024.23safe1.05–3.370.93–3.111.98–6.48safer0.75–3.670.64–3.401.39–7.07
Yellow cards
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.463.08safe0.57–2.670.33–2.590.90–5.26safer0.30–2.930.04–2.880.34–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.240.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.507.07safe3.13–6.010.95–4.064.08–10.07safer2.75–6.390.52–4.483.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 3.03 2.17–3.88 1.94–4.11 | 4.01 2.18–5.83 1.70–6.31 | 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.71 1.49–6.20 | 7.45 5.71–9.19 5.24–9.66 | 11.29 7.69–14.90 6.73–15.85 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.48 6.55–14.40 5.46–15.50 | 17.75 14.19–21.31 13.23–22.27 | 28.23 20.74–35.72 18.69–37.77 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.27 3.32–9.21 2.50–10.04 | 12.95 10.27–15.63 9.53–16.37 | 19.22 13.60–24.84 12.03–26.41 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.58 0.70–4.46 0.16–5.01 | 4.80 3.14–6.45 2.65–6.94 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.81–11.95 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.66 1.44–5.87 0.87–6.44 | 6.14 4.14–8.14 3.60–8.67 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 34.41 27.62–41.20 25.95–42.87 | 66.74 59.96–73.53 58.28–75.20 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 369 302–437 284–455 | 699 633–766 616–783 | 1069 935–1203 900–1238 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.67 63.65–71.70 62.35–73.00 | 84.84 80.51–89.16 79.20–90.47 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.78 7.35–14.54 | 9.55 6.60–12.49 5.85–13.24 | 20.49 14.71–26.27 13.20–27.78 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 2.02 0.93–3.11 0.64–3.40 | 4.23 1.98–6.48 1.39–7.07 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.82 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.57 3.13–6.01 2.75–6.39 | 2.50 0.95–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 7.07 4.08–10.07 3.27–10.88 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+