Ligue 1·Regular Season - 25·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.270.824.09safe2.30–4.240.00–1.682.27–5.91safer2.05–4.490.00–1.901.79–6.39
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.343.0011.34safe6.48–10.201.25–4.747.73–14.94safer5.99–10.690.79–5.216.78–15.90
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.608.3929.99safe17.67–25.524.83–11.9522.50–37.47safer16.58–26.613.87–12.9120.45–39.52
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.095.6120.71safe12.15–18.042.93–8.2915.08–26.33safer11.32–18.862.19–9.0313.52–27.90
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.872.117.97safe3.98–7.750.45–3.764.44–11.51safer3.44–8.290.00–4.253.40–12.54
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.702.6911.39safe6.48–10.910.69–4.697.17–15.60safer5.91–11.480.16–5.226.07–16.71
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.0531.79safe61.26–74.8425.01–38.58safer59.59–76.5123.34–40.25
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7373701107safe670–804304–437974–1241safer652–822286–454938–1277
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction83.4871.42safe79.45–87.5167.10–75.75safer78.16–88.8165.79–77.06
Fouls
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1310.6618.79safe5.29–10.977.71–13.6013.01–24.57safer4.54–11.726.97–14.3511.50–26.08
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.904.13safe1.06–3.380.81–3.001.87–6.38safer0.76–3.690.52–3.281.28–6.97
Yellow cards
25%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.542.57safe0.00–2.070.42–2.670.39–4.74safer0.00–2.340.12–2.960.00–5.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.175.027.19safe0.73–3.603.47–6.584.20–10.18safer0.34–3.993.04–7.013.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.27 2.30–4.24 2.05–4.49 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 4.09 2.27–5.91 1.79–6.39 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.34 6.48–10.20 5.99–10.69 | 3.00 1.25–4.74 0.79–5.21 | 11.34 7.73–14.94 6.78–15.90 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.60 17.67–25.52 16.58–26.61 | 8.39 4.83–11.95 3.87–12.91 | 29.99 22.50–37.47 20.45–39.52 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.09 12.15–18.04 11.32–18.86 | 5.61 2.93–8.29 2.19–9.03 | 20.71 15.08–26.33 13.52–27.90 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.87 3.98–7.75 3.44–8.29 | 2.11 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.70 6.48–10.91 5.91–11.48 | 2.69 0.69–4.69 0.16–5.22 | 11.39 7.17–15.60 6.07–16.71 | 95% |
| Possession % | 68.05 61.26–74.84 59.59–76.51 | 31.79 25.01–38.58 23.34–40.25 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 737 670–804 652–822 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 1107 974–1241 938–1277 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.48 79.45–87.51 78.16–88.81 | 71.42 67.10–75.75 65.79–77.06 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 8.13 5.29–10.97 4.54–11.72 | 10.66 7.71–13.60 6.97–14.35 | 18.79 13.01–24.57 11.50–26.08 | 24% 68% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.69 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.28 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.28–6.97 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.02 0.00–2.07 0.00–2.34 | 1.54 0.42–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 2.57 0.39–4.74 0.00–5.30 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 5.02 3.47–6.58 3.04–7.01 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.39–11.00 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.