Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.712.91safe0.23–2.170.85–2.561.09–4.73safer0.00–2.420.63–2.790.61–5.21
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.326.0610.38safe2.46–6.184.32–7.806.78–13.99safer1.97–6.673.85–8.275.82–14.94
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4916.2428.72safe8.56–16.4112.67–19.8021.23–36.21safer7.47–17.5011.71–20.7619.18–38.26
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4310.3918.82safe5.49–11.377.71–13.0713.20–24.44safer4.66–12.206.97–13.8111.63–26.01
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.506.67safe1.29–5.051.85–5.153.13–10.20safer0.74–5.591.35–5.642.10–11.24
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.4410.43safe2.78–7.213.44–7.446.22–14.65safer2.21–7.782.91–7.975.11–15.75
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction38.7860.53safe31.99–45.5753.75–67.32safer30.32–47.2452.08–68.99
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction346528874safe279–413462–595740–1008safer260–431444–612705–1043
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction61.4372.43safe57.40–65.4668.11–76.76safer56.11–66.7566.80–78.07
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3312.3424.67safe9.49–15.179.39–15.2818.89–30.45safer8.74–15.938.64–16.0317.38–31.96
Offsides
36%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.104.00safe0.74–3.061.01–3.191.75–6.25safer0.44–3.360.72–3.481.16–6.84
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.883.69safe0.75–2.850.75–3.011.51–5.86safer0.49–3.120.46–3.300.95–6.42
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.876.65safe2.35–5.221.31–4.423.65–9.64safer1.96–5.600.89–4.852.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.63–2.79 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 6.06 4.32–7.80 3.85–8.27 | 10.38 6.78–13.99 5.82–14.94 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.50 | 16.24 12.67–19.80 11.71–20.76 | 28.72 21.23–36.21 19.18–38.26 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.37 4.66–12.20 | 10.39 7.71–13.07 6.97–13.81 | 18.82 13.20–24.44 11.63–26.01 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.78–7.21 2.21–7.78 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.91–7.97 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 38.78 31.99–45.57 30.32–47.24 | 60.53 53.75–67.32 52.08–68.99 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 346 279–413 260–431 | 528 462–595 444–612 | 874 740–1008 705–1043 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.43 57.40–65.46 56.11–66.75 | 72.43 68.11–76.76 66.80–78.07 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 12.34 9.39–15.28 8.64–16.03 | 24.67 18.89–30.45 17.38–31.96 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.10 1.01–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.69 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.78 2.35–5.22 1.96–5.60 | 2.87 1.31–4.42 0.89–4.85 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.