Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.150.943.09safe1.18–3.110.09–1.801.27–4.91safer0.93–3.370.00–2.030.79–5.39
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.399.93safe4.68–8.401.65–5.136.32–13.53safer4.19–8.891.18–5.605.37–14.49
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.4710.3528.82safe14.54–22.396.79–13.9121.33–36.31safer13.45–23.485.83–14.8719.28–38.36
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.846.7718.61safe8.90–14.784.09–9.4512.98–24.23safer8.07–15.613.35–10.1911.42–25.80
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.157.65safe2.62–6.381.50–4.804.12–11.19safer2.07–6.931.01–5.303.08–12.22
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.9510.75safe4.58–9.011.95–5.956.53–14.96safer4.01–9.581.42–6.495.43–16.07
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.6838.26safe55.89–69.4731.48–45.05safer54.22–71.1429.81–46.72
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction575346921safe508–642280–413788–1055safer490–661262–430752–1091
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction71.9664.69safe67.93–75.9960.37–69.02safer66.63–77.2859.06–70.33
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8812.7124.58safe9.04–14.729.76–15.6518.80–30.37safer8.29–15.479.01–16.4017.30–31.87
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.893.80safe0.75–3.070.80–2.991.55–6.06safer0.45–3.370.51–3.270.96–6.64
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.733.15safe0.37–2.470.60–2.860.97–5.32safer0.10–2.730.31–3.150.41–5.88
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.474.316.78safe1.04–3.912.76–5.873.79–9.78safer0.65–4.302.33–6.292.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 1.18–3.11 0.93–3.37 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.54 4.68–8.40 4.19–8.89 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.47 14.54–22.39 13.45–23.48 | 10.35 6.79–13.91 5.83–14.87 | 28.82 21.33–36.31 19.28–38.36 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.84 8.90–14.78 8.07–15.61 | 6.77 4.09–9.45 3.35–10.19 | 18.61 12.98–24.23 11.42–25.80 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.62–6.38 2.07–6.93 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.01–9.58 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 62.68 55.89–69.47 54.22–71.14 | 38.26 31.48–45.05 29.81–46.72 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 575 508–642 490–661 | 346 280–413 262–430 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.96 67.93–75.99 66.63–77.28 | 64.69 60.37–69.02 59.06–70.33 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.88 9.04–14.72 8.29–15.47 | 12.71 9.76–15.65 9.01–16.40 | 24.58 18.80–30.37 17.30–31.87 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.80 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.64 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.15 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 6.78 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+