Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.182.62safe0.48–2.410.32–2.030.80–4.44safer0.23–2.660.09–2.260.32–4.92
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.048.75safe2.84–6.572.30–5.785.14–12.35safer2.36–7.061.83–6.254.19–13.31
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2710.8925.16safe10.34–18.197.33–14.4517.67–32.65safer9.25–19.286.37–15.4115.62–34.70
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.937.8416.77safe5.99–11.875.16–10.5211.15–22.39safer5.16–12.704.42–11.269.58–23.96
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.077.19safe2.24–6.011.41–4.723.66–10.73safer1.70–6.550.92–5.212.62–11.76
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.339.88safe3.34–7.772.33–6.335.67–14.10safer2.77–8.341.79–6.864.56–15.20
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.8148.00safe46.02–59.6041.21–54.78safer44.35–61.2739.54–56.45
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction490433923safe422–557367–500789–1057safer404–575349–517754–1092
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction71.3071.66safe67.27–75.3367.33–75.98safer65.98–76.6266.02–77.29
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6711.3424.00safe9.83–15.518.39–14.2818.22–29.79safer9.07–16.267.64–15.0316.72–31.29
Offsides
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.703.34safe0.49–2.810.60–2.791.09–5.60safer0.19–3.110.32–3.080.50–6.19
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.823.63safe0.76–2.860.69–2.951.45–5.80safer0.49–3.130.40–3.240.89–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.065.89safe1.40–4.271.50–4.612.90–8.88safer1.01–4.661.08–5.042.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.41 0.23–2.66 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.84–6.57 2.36–7.06 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 10.89 7.33–14.45 6.37–15.41 | 25.16 17.67–32.65 15.62–34.70 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.87 5.16–12.70 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 16.77 11.15–22.39 9.58–23.96 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 9.88 5.67–14.10 4.56–15.20 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.81 46.02–59.60 44.35–61.27 | 48.00 41.21–54.78 39.54–56.45 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 490 422–557 404–575 | 433 367–500 349–517 | 923 789–1057 754–1092 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.30 67.27–75.33 65.98–76.62 | 71.66 67.33–75.98 66.02–77.29 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.83–15.51 9.07–16.26 | 11.34 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 24.00 18.22–29.79 16.72–31.29 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.13 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.63 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.06 1.50–4.61 1.08–5.04 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.70 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.