Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.392.76safe0.40–2.330.54–2.250.93–4.58safer0.14–2.580.31–2.480.45–5.06
Shots on target
44%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.569.20safe2.78–6.502.82–6.315.60–12.81safer2.29–6.992.36–6.774.64–13.76
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8413.2827.12safe9.91–17.769.72–16.8519.63–34.61safer8.82–18.858.76–17.8117.58–36.66
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.069.0718.13safe6.12–12.006.39–11.7512.51–23.75safer5.29–12.835.65–12.4910.94–25.32
Blocked shots
39%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.037.82safe1.90–5.672.38–5.684.28–11.35safer1.36–6.211.88–6.173.24–12.39
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.2810.14safe2.64–7.073.28–7.285.92–14.35safer2.07–7.642.75–7.814.82–15.46
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.1652.60safe40.37–53.9545.82–59.39safer38.70–55.6244.14–61.06
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction461482943safe394–529415–548810–1077safer376–547398–566774–1113
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction68.2275.82safe64.19–72.2571.50–80.15safer62.89–73.5470.19–81.46
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7313.2624.99safe8.89–14.5710.32–16.2119.21–30.78safer8.14–15.329.57–16.9617.71–32.28
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.603.31safe0.55–2.870.51–2.691.06–5.57safer0.25–3.170.22–2.980.47–6.15
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.963.49safe0.48–2.580.83–3.091.31–5.67safer0.21–2.840.54–3.380.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.306.38safe1.64–4.511.75–4.863.39–9.37safer1.25–4.901.32–5.292.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.40–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 37% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 4.56 2.82–6.31 2.36–6.77 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.91–17.76 8.82–18.85 | 13.28 9.72–16.85 8.76–17.81 | 27.12 19.63–34.61 17.58–36.66 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.12–12.00 5.29–12.83 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.65–12.49 | 18.13 12.51–23.75 10.94–25.32 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.03 2.38–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.39 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 47.16 40.37–53.95 38.70–55.62 | 52.60 45.82–59.39 44.14–61.06 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 461 394–529 376–547 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 943 810–1077 774–1113 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.22 64.19–72.25 62.89–73.54 | 75.82 71.50–80.15 70.19–81.46 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.32 | 13.26 10.32–16.21 9.57–16.96 | 24.99 19.21–30.78 17.71–32.28 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.15 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.29 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+