Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.232.68safe0.48–2.420.37–2.080.85–4.50safer0.23–2.670.14–2.310.38–4.98
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.018.99safe3.12–6.842.27–5.755.39–12.60safer2.63–7.331.80–6.224.43–13.55
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2310.8826.12safe11.31–19.167.32–14.4518.63–33.60safer10.22–20.256.36–15.4116.58–35.65
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.387.2516.63safe6.44–12.324.57–9.9311.01–22.25safer5.61–13.153.83–10.679.44–23.82
Blocked shots
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.886.55safe1.79–5.551.23–4.533.02–10.09safer1.24–6.100.74–5.031.98–11.12
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.2210.10safe3.67–8.102.22–6.225.89–14.32safer3.10–8.671.69–6.754.78–15.43
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.4052.79safe41.61–55.1946.00–59.57safer39.94–56.8644.33–61.24
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction424471895safe357–491405–538762–1029safer338–509387–555726–1065
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.2571.68safe65.22–73.2867.36–76.01safer63.93–74.5766.05–77.32
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9911.6923.67safe9.15–14.828.74–14.6317.89–29.45safer8.39–15.587.99–15.3816.39–30.96
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.653.61safe0.79–3.120.56–2.751.36–5.86safer0.49–3.420.27–3.040.77–6.45
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.943.71safe0.72–2.820.81–3.061.53–5.89safer0.46–3.090.52–3.360.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.616.31safe1.27–4.142.05–5.163.32–9.31safer0.88–4.531.63–5.592.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.84 2.63–7.33 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.31–19.16 10.22–20.25 | 10.88 7.32–14.45 6.36–15.41 | 26.12 18.63–33.60 16.58–35.65 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.83–10.67 | 16.63 11.01–22.25 9.44–23.82 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.10 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.74–5.03 | 6.55 3.02–10.09 1.98–11.12 | 54% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.43 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 48.40 41.61–55.19 39.94–56.86 | 52.79 46.00–59.57 44.33–61.24 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 338–509 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.25 65.22–73.28 63.93–74.57 | 71.68 67.36–76.01 66.05–77.32 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.15–14.82 8.39–15.58 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.39–30.96 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.79–3.12 0.49–3.42 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.61 2.05–5.16 1.63–5.59 | 6.31 3.32–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+