Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.442.79safe0.39–2.330.58–2.290.97–4.62safer0.14–2.580.35–2.520.49–5.10
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.418.88safe2.61–6.332.66–6.155.27–12.48safer2.12–6.822.20–6.624.32–13.44
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6712.9725.64safe8.75–16.609.41–16.5318.15–33.13safer7.66–17.698.45–17.4916.10–35.18
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.208.3716.57safe5.26–11.145.69–11.0510.94–22.19safer4.43–11.974.95–11.799.38–23.76
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.026.23safe1.32–5.091.37–4.682.69–9.76safer0.78–5.630.88–5.171.66–10.80
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.899.97safe2.86–7.292.89–6.895.75–14.18safer2.29–7.862.36–7.424.64–15.29
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction55.6844.50safe48.89–62.4737.71–51.28safer47.22–64.1436.04–52.95
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction508386894safe441–575320–453760–1028safer422–593302–470725–1063
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction70.6669.00safe66.63–74.6964.67–73.32safer65.34–75.9863.36–74.63
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7412.8124.55safe8.90–14.589.87–15.7518.77–30.33safer8.15–15.339.12–16.5017.26–31.84
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.043.77safe0.56–2.880.95–3.141.51–6.02safer0.26–3.190.66–3.430.93–6.61
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.913.59safe0.63–2.730.78–3.041.41–5.77safer0.36–2.990.49–3.330.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.066.01safe1.51–4.381.50–4.623.01–9.00safer1.12–4.771.08–5.042.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.41 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.75–16.60 7.66–17.69 | 12.97 9.41–16.53 8.45–17.49 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.14 4.43–11.97 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 16.57 10.94–22.19 9.38–23.76 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.02 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 6.23 2.69–9.76 1.66–10.80 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.42 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.29 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 55.68 48.89–62.47 47.22–64.14 | 44.50 37.71–51.28 36.04–52.95 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 422–593 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.66 66.63–74.69 65.34–75.98 | 69.00 64.67–73.32 63.36–74.63 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.33 | 12.81 9.87–15.75 9.12–16.50 | 24.55 18.77–30.33 17.26–31.84 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 2.04 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.