Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.272.61safe0.37–2.310.41–2.120.79–4.43safer0.12–2.560.18–2.350.31–4.91
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.718.51safe2.94–6.671.97–5.454.91–12.12safer2.45–7.161.50–5.923.95–13.07
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7610.7725.54safe10.84–18.697.21–14.3418.05–33.03safer9.75–19.786.25–15.3016.00–35.08
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.226.9516.17safe6.28–12.164.27–9.6310.54–21.79safer5.45–12.993.53–10.378.98–23.36
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.876.66safe1.91–5.671.21–4.523.12–10.19safer1.37–6.220.72–5.012.09–11.23
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.269.50safe3.02–7.452.26–6.265.29–13.71safer2.45–8.021.73–6.804.18–14.82
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.5453.45safe39.75–53.3346.67–60.24safer38.08–55.0045.00–61.91
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction433517950safe366–500450–583816–1084safer348–519433–601781–1119
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction68.4973.58safe64.46–72.5269.25–77.90safer63.16–73.8167.94–79.21
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7112.4124.12safe8.87–14.549.47–15.3618.34–29.90safer8.11–15.308.72–16.1016.83–31.40
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.963.62safe0.50–2.820.87–3.051.37–5.88safer0.20–3.120.58–3.340.78–6.47
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.743.56safe0.77–2.870.61–2.871.38–5.74safer0.50–3.130.32–3.160.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.325.77safe1.02–3.891.76–4.872.77–8.76safer0.63–4.271.33–5.301.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.76 10.84–18.69 9.75–19.78 | 10.77 7.21–14.34 6.25–15.30 | 25.54 18.05–33.03 16.00–35.08 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 6.95 4.27–9.63 3.53–10.37 | 16.17 10.54–21.79 8.98–23.36 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.37–6.22 | 2.87 1.21–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 9.50 5.29–13.71 4.18–14.82 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 46.54 39.75–53.33 38.08–55.00 | 53.45 46.67–60.24 45.00–61.91 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 433 366–500 348–519 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.49 64.46–72.52 63.16–73.81 | 73.58 69.25–77.90 67.94–79.21 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 12.41 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.10 | 24.12 18.34–29.90 16.83–31.40 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.30 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.