Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.312.63safe0.35–2.280.46–2.170.81–4.45safer0.09–2.530.23–2.400.33–4.93
Shots on target
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.208.65safe2.59–6.322.46–5.945.05–12.26safer2.10–6.811.99–6.414.09–13.22
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7712.9225.70safe8.85–16.709.36–16.4818.21–33.18safer7.76–17.798.40–17.4416.16–35.23
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.918.2916.20safe4.97–10.855.61–10.9710.58–21.82safer4.14–11.684.87–11.719.01–23.39
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.206.35safe1.26–5.031.55–4.862.81–9.88safer0.72–5.571.06–5.351.78–10.92
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.5610.02safe3.24–7.672.56–6.565.81–14.23safer2.67–8.242.03–7.104.70–15.34
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.0843.82safe49.29–62.8737.03–50.60safer47.62–64.5435.36–52.27
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction555411966safe488–622344–477832–1100safer470–641327–495797–1135
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction73.6270.57safe69.59–77.6566.24–74.89safer68.30–78.9464.93–76.20
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0711.8723.94safe9.23–14.918.92–14.8118.16–29.72safer8.48–15.668.17–15.5616.65–31.22
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.483.45safe0.81–3.130.39–2.571.20–5.71safer0.51–3.440.10–2.860.61–6.30
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.763.45safe0.65–2.750.63–2.881.27–5.63safer0.38–3.010.34–3.180.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.922.985.90safe1.48–4.351.42–4.542.90–8.89safer1.09–4.741.00–4.962.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.32 2.10–6.81 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.22 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.77 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 12.92 9.36–16.48 8.40–17.44 | 25.70 18.21–33.18 16.16–35.23 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.91 4.97–10.85 4.14–11.68 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 16.20 10.58–21.82 9.01–23.39 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 3.20 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 6.35 2.81–9.88 1.78–10.92 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 56.08 49.29–62.87 47.62–64.54 | 43.82 37.03–50.60 35.36–52.27 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 555 488–622 470–641 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 966 832–1100 797–1135 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.62 69.59–77.65 68.30–78.94 | 70.57 66.24–74.89 64.93–76.20 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.91 8.48–15.66 | 11.87 8.92–14.81 8.17–15.56 | 23.94 18.16–29.72 16.65–31.22 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.44 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.76 0.63–2.88 0.34–3.18 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.90 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 41% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.