Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.113.02safe0.94–2.880.26–1.971.20–4.84safer0.69–3.130.03–2.190.72–5.32
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.294.2110.50safe4.43–8.162.47–5.956.90–14.11safer3.94–8.652.00–6.425.94–15.06
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6412.0628.70safe12.71–20.568.50–15.6321.21–36.19safer11.62–21.667.54–16.5819.16–38.24
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.207.8719.07safe8.26–14.145.19–10.5613.45–24.70safer7.43–14.974.46–11.2911.88–26.26
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.558.04safe2.61–6.371.90–5.214.51–11.58safer2.06–6.911.41–5.703.47–12.61
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.8210.09safe4.06–8.481.82–5.825.87–14.30safer3.48–9.061.28–6.354.77–15.41
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction59.3941.68safe52.59–66.1834.89–48.46safer50.93–67.8533.22–50.13
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction596380976safe529–664313–446843–1110safer511–682296–464807–1146
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction72.3369.17safe68.30–76.3664.84–73.49safer67.01–77.6563.53–74.80
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2412.4423.68safe8.40–14.089.50–15.3917.90–29.47safer7.65–14.848.75–16.1316.40–30.97
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.623.57safe0.78–3.110.53–2.721.32–5.82safer0.48–3.410.24–3.010.73–6.41
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.293.68safe0.35–2.451.16–3.411.50–5.86safer0.08–2.710.87–3.710.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.824.076.90safe1.39–4.262.52–5.633.90–9.89safer1.00–4.652.09–6.053.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.19 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.29 4.43–8.16 3.94–8.65 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 10.50 6.90–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.64 12.71–20.56 11.62–21.66 | 12.06 8.50–15.63 7.54–16.58 | 28.70 21.21–36.19 19.16–38.24 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 7.87 5.19–10.56 4.46–11.29 | 19.07 13.45–24.70 11.88–26.26 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 3.55 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 8.04 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.61 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.48 3.48–9.06 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.28–6.35 | 10.09 5.87–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.39 52.59–66.18 50.93–67.85 | 41.68 34.89–48.46 33.22–50.13 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 596 529–664 511–682 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.33 68.30–76.36 67.01–77.65 | 69.17 64.84–73.49 63.53–74.80 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.08 7.65–14.84 | 12.44 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.13 | 23.68 17.90–29.47 16.40–30.97 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.11 0.48–3.41 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.71 | 2.29 1.16–3.41 0.87–3.71 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 4.07 2.52–5.63 2.09–6.05 | 6.90 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+