Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.652.88safe0.25–2.190.80–2.511.05–4.70safer0.00–2.440.57–2.740.57–5.18
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.149.56safe2.56–6.283.40–6.895.96–13.17safer2.07–6.772.94–7.355.00–14.12
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9914.5628.55safe10.06–17.9111.00–18.1221.06–36.03safer8.97–19.0010.04–19.0819.01–38.08
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.259.2818.52safe6.30–12.196.60–11.9612.90–24.15safer5.47–13.025.86–12.7011.33–25.71
Blocked shots
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.078.00safe2.04–5.812.42–5.724.46–11.53safer1.50–6.351.93–6.223.42–12.57
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.2310.12safe2.68–7.113.23–7.235.91–14.33safer2.11–7.682.69–7.764.80–15.44
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.0757.71safe36.28–49.8650.93–64.50safer34.61–51.5349.26–66.17
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction388508896safe321–455442–575763–1030safer302–473424–592727–1066
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction64.1575.46safe60.12–68.1871.14–79.79safer58.83–69.4769.83–81.10
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5111.9924.50safe9.67–15.359.05–14.9418.72–30.29safer8.92–16.118.30–15.6817.22–31.79
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.893.66safe0.61–2.930.79–2.981.40–5.91safer0.31–3.230.50–3.270.81–6.50
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.753.65safe0.86–2.950.62–2.881.47–5.83safer0.59–3.220.33–3.170.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.936.37safe2.01–4.881.37–4.493.38–9.36safer1.62–5.270.95–4.912.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 28% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.56–6.28 2.07–6.77 | 5.14 3.40–6.89 2.94–7.35 | 9.56 5.96–13.17 5.00–14.12 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.06–17.91 8.97–19.00 | 14.56 11.00–18.12 10.04–19.08 | 28.55 21.06–36.03 19.01–38.08 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.30–12.19 5.47–13.02 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.86–12.70 | 18.52 12.90–24.15 11.33–25.71 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 4.07 2.42–5.72 1.93–6.22 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.57 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.69–7.76 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 43.07 36.28–49.86 34.61–51.53 | 57.71 50.93–64.50 49.26–66.17 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 302–473 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.15 60.12–68.18 58.83–69.47 | 75.46 71.14–79.79 69.83–81.10 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.51 9.67–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.68 | 24.50 18.72–30.29 17.22–31.79 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.66 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 2.93 1.37–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.18 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+