Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.173.15safe1.01–2.950.31–2.021.33–4.97safer0.76–3.200.09–2.250.85–5.45
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.943.899.83safe4.07–7.802.15–5.636.22–13.43safer3.58–8.291.68–6.105.27–14.39
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7510.8028.54safe13.82–21.677.23–14.3621.06–36.03safer12.73–22.766.27–15.3219.01–38.08
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.567.3718.93safe8.62–14.504.69–10.0513.31–24.55safer7.79–15.333.95–10.7911.74–26.12
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.168.22safe3.19–6.951.50–4.814.69–11.76safer2.64–7.491.01–5.303.65–12.80
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.604.0210.61safe4.38–8.812.02–6.026.40–14.83safer3.81–9.381.48–6.555.29–15.93
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.6246.11safe47.83–61.4139.32–52.89safer46.16–63.0837.65–54.57
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction487420907safe420–554354–487774–1041safer402–573336–504738–1077
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction72.2671.26safe68.23–76.2866.94–75.59safer66.93–77.5865.63–76.90
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0212.2824.30safe9.18–14.859.34–15.2318.52–30.08safer8.42–15.618.59–15.9817.01–31.59
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.423.30safe0.73–3.050.32–2.511.05–5.56safer0.43–3.350.04–2.800.46–6.15
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.464.31safe0.79–2.891.33–3.592.13–6.48safer0.53–3.161.04–3.881.57–7.04
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.946.57safe1.20–4.072.38–5.493.58–9.56safer0.81–4.461.96–5.922.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.94 4.07–7.80 3.58–8.29 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 9.83 6.22–13.43 5.27–14.39 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.75 13.82–21.67 12.73–22.76 | 10.80 7.23–14.36 6.27–15.32 | 28.54 21.06–36.03 19.01–38.08 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.56 8.62–14.50 7.79–15.33 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 18.93 13.31–24.55 11.74–26.12 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.49 | 3.16 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.80 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.38–8.81 3.81–9.38 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 10.61 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.93 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 54.62 47.83–61.41 46.16–63.08 | 46.11 39.32–52.89 37.65–54.57 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–573 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 907 774–1041 738–1077 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.26 68.23–76.28 66.93–77.58 | 71.26 66.94–75.59 65.63–76.90 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.02 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 12.28 9.34–15.23 8.59–15.98 | 24.30 18.52–30.08 17.01–31.59 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.31 2.13–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.94 2.38–5.49 1.96–5.92 | 6.57 3.58–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+