Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.883.25safe0.39–2.331.03–2.741.42–5.07safer0.14–2.580.80–2.970.94–5.55
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.389.92safe2.67–6.403.64–7.126.31–13.52safer2.18–6.893.17–7.595.36–14.48
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3014.5427.84safe9.38–17.2310.98–18.1020.35–35.33safer8.29–18.3210.02–19.0618.30–37.38
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.529.8318.35safe5.58–11.467.15–12.5112.72–23.97safer4.75–12.296.41–13.2511.16–25.54
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.417.87safe1.57–5.342.76–6.074.33–11.40safer1.03–5.882.27–6.563.30–12.44
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.4710.32safe2.64–7.073.47–7.476.11–14.53safer2.06–7.642.93–8.005.00–15.64
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9749.90safe44.18–57.7643.12–56.69safer42.51–59.4341.45–58.36
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction466448914safe399–533382–515781–1048safer381–551364–532745–1084
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction68.3074.34safe64.27–72.3370.02–78.66safer62.98–73.6268.71–79.97
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1712.4624.64safe9.34–15.019.52–15.4118.86–30.42safer8.58–15.778.77–16.1617.35–31.93
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.933.49safe0.39–2.710.84–3.031.23–5.74safer0.09–3.010.55–3.320.64–6.33
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.324.22safe0.85–2.951.19–3.452.04–6.40safer0.58–3.210.90–3.741.48–6.95
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.096.60safe2.07–4.941.54–4.653.61–9.59safer1.68–5.331.11–5.072.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.88 1.03–2.74 0.80–2.97 | 3.25 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.67–6.40 2.18–6.89 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 9.92 6.31–13.52 5.36–14.48 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.38–17.23 8.29–18.32 | 14.54 10.98–18.10 10.02–19.06 | 27.84 20.35–35.33 18.30–37.38 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.58–11.46 4.75–12.29 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 18.35 12.72–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 4.41 2.76–6.07 2.27–6.56 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.07 2.06–7.64 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.93–8.00 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 50.97 44.18–57.76 42.51–59.43 | 49.90 43.12–56.69 41.45–58.36 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 381–551 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.30 64.27–72.33 62.98–73.62 | 74.34 70.02–78.66 68.71–79.97 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.34–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 12.46 9.52–15.41 8.77–16.16 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.35–31.93 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.79–10.40 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.