Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.830.903.73safe1.86–3.800.05–1.751.91–5.56safer1.61–4.050.00–1.981.43–6.04
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.773.3111.07safe5.91–9.631.56–5.057.47–14.68safer5.42–10.121.10–5.516.51–15.63
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.418.3028.71safe16.49–24.344.73–11.8621.22–36.20safer15.40–25.433.77–12.8219.17–38.25
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.926.2320.15safe10.98–16.873.55–8.9114.53–25.77safer10.15–17.692.81–9.6512.96–27.34
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.802.457.25safe2.92–6.680.80–4.113.72–10.79safer2.37–7.220.31–4.602.68–11.82
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.732.9610.69safe5.52–9.940.96–4.966.47–14.90safer4.94–10.520.42–5.495.37–16.01
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.3833.43safe59.59–73.1726.64–40.21safer57.92–74.8424.97–41.88
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6963611057safe629–764295–428924–1191safer611–782277–445888–1227
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction81.9072.14safe77.87–85.9367.82–76.47safer76.58–87.2266.51–77.78
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4210.2219.64safe6.58–12.267.28–13.1713.86–25.43safer5.83–13.016.53–13.9212.36–26.93
Offsides
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.324.34safe0.86–3.181.23–3.422.09–6.60safer0.56–3.480.94–3.701.50–7.19
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.823.08safe0.21–2.300.69–2.950.90–5.25safer0.00–2.570.40–3.240.34–5.81
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.907.25safe0.91–3.793.34–6.454.26–10.24safer0.53–4.172.92–6.883.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.83 1.86–3.80 1.61–4.05 | 0.90 0.05–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.73 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.77 5.91–9.63 5.42–10.12 | 3.31 1.56–5.05 1.10–5.51 | 11.07 7.47–14.68 6.51–15.63 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.41 16.49–24.34 15.40–25.43 | 8.30 4.73–11.86 3.77–12.82 | 28.71 21.22–36.20 19.17–38.25 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.92 10.98–16.87 10.15–17.69 | 6.23 3.55–8.91 2.81–9.65 | 20.15 14.53–25.77 12.96–27.34 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.37–7.22 | 2.45 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 7.25 3.72–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 7.73 5.52–9.94 4.94–10.52 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.42–5.49 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 91% |
| Possession % | 66.38 59.59–73.17 57.92–74.84 | 33.43 26.64–40.21 24.97–41.88 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 696 629–764 611–782 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 1057 924–1191 888–1227 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.90 77.87–85.93 76.58–87.22 | 72.14 67.82–76.47 66.51–77.78 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.42 6.58–12.26 5.83–13.01 | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.92 | 19.64 13.86–25.43 12.36–26.93 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 2.32 1.23–3.42 0.94–3.70 | 4.34 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.21–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.08 0.90–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.79 0.53–4.17 | 4.90 3.34–6.45 2.92–6.88 | 7.25 4.26–10.24 3.44–11.05 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.