Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.923.134.05safe0.00–1.892.27–3.982.22–5.87safer0.00–2.142.04–4.211.74–6.35
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.337.3710.70safe1.47–5.195.62–9.117.09–14.30safer0.98–5.685.16–9.576.14–15.26
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2518.1027.35safe5.32–13.1714.54–21.6619.86–34.84safer4.23–14.2613.58–22.6217.81–36.89
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1513.2619.41safe3.21–9.1010.58–15.9413.79–25.04safer2.38–9.929.84–16.6812.22–26.60
Blocked shots
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.694.917.61safe0.81–4.583.26–6.574.07–11.14safer0.27–5.122.77–7.063.04–12.18
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.546.7710.31safe1.33–5.764.77–8.776.10–14.52safer0.76–6.334.23–9.304.99–15.63
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction29.0172.43safe22.22–35.8065.64–79.21safer20.55–37.4763.97–80.88
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3047151019safe236–371648–781885–1152safer218–389631–799849–1188
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction62.9184.86safe58.88–66.9480.54–89.19safer57.58–68.2379.23–90.49
Fouls
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction11.609.2020.81safe8.77–14.446.26–12.1515.03–26.59safer8.01–15.205.51–12.9013.52–28.09
Offsides
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.264.53safe1.12–3.441.16–3.352.28–6.79safer0.82–3.740.87–3.641.69–7.38
Yellow cards
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.223.01safe0.74–2.840.09–2.350.83–5.19safer0.48–3.110.00–2.640.27–5.75
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.256.76safe3.07–5.940.70–3.813.77–9.75safer2.68–6.330.27–4.232.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 3.13 2.27–3.98 2.04–4.21 | 4.05 2.22–5.87 1.74–6.35 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 3.33 1.47–5.19 0.98–5.68 | 7.37 5.62–9.11 5.16–9.57 | 10.70 7.09–14.30 6.14–15.26 | 86% |
| Total shots | 9.25 5.32–13.17 4.23–14.26 | 18.10 14.54–21.66 13.58–22.62 | 27.35 19.86–34.84 17.81–36.89 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.15 3.21–9.10 2.38–9.92 | 13.26 10.58–15.94 9.84–16.68 | 19.41 13.79–25.04 12.22–26.60 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.69 0.81–4.58 0.27–5.12 | 4.91 3.26–6.57 2.77–7.06 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 16% 73% |
| Corners | 3.54 1.33–5.76 0.76–6.33 | 6.77 4.77–8.77 4.23–9.30 | 10.31 6.10–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 80% |
| Possession % | 29.01 22.22–35.80 20.55–37.47 | 72.43 65.64–79.21 63.97–80.88 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 304 236–371 218–389 | 715 648–781 631–799 | 1019 885–1152 849–1188 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.91 58.88–66.94 57.58–68.23 | 84.86 80.54–89.19 79.23–90.49 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.77–14.44 8.01–15.20 | 9.20 6.26–12.15 5.51–12.90 | 20.81 15.03–26.59 13.52–28.09 | 66% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 2.26 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 4.53 2.28–6.79 1.69–7.38 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.22 0.09–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.75 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.51 3.07–5.94 2.68–6.33 | 2.25 0.70–3.81 0.27–4.23 | 6.76 3.77–9.75 2.96–10.57 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.