Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.240.693.93safe2.27–4.210.00–1.542.10–5.75safer2.02–4.460.00–1.771.62–6.23
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.402.8511.26safe6.54–10.261.11–4.607.65–14.86safer6.05–10.750.65–5.066.70–15.82
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.007.6029.60safe18.07–25.924.04–11.1722.11–37.09safer16.98–27.013.08–12.1320.06–39.14
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.975.2520.22safe12.02–17.912.57–7.9314.59–25.84safer11.19–18.741.83–8.6713.03–27.41
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.942.037.97safe4.06–7.820.37–3.684.43–11.50safer3.52–8.370.00–4.173.40–12.54
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.462.5310.99safe6.25–10.670.53–4.536.77–15.20safer5.67–11.250.00–5.065.67–16.31
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.7627.94safe64.97–78.5521.15–34.72safer63.30–80.2219.48–36.39
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7653081073safe698–832242–375939–1207safer679–850224–392904–1242
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.5268.22safe80.49–88.5563.90–72.54safer79.20–89.8462.59–73.85
Fouls
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3410.8019.14safe5.51–11.187.85–13.7413.36–24.92safer4.75–11.947.10–14.4911.85–26.43
Offsides
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.134.49safe1.20–3.521.04–3.222.24–6.75safer0.90–3.820.75–3.511.65–7.34
Yellow cards
16%
23%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.771.762.53safe0.00–1.820.63–2.890.35–4.70safer0.00–2.080.34–3.180.00–5.26
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.185.267.44safe0.75–3.623.70–6.814.44–10.43safer0.36–4.013.27–7.243.63–11.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.24 2.27–4.21 2.02–4.46 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.93 2.10–5.75 1.62–6.23 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.40 6.54–10.26 6.05–10.75 | 2.85 1.11–4.60 0.65–5.06 | 11.26 7.65–14.86 6.70–15.82 | 94% |
| Total shots | 22.00 18.07–25.92 16.98–27.01 | 7.60 4.04–11.17 3.08–12.13 | 29.60 22.11–37.09 20.06–39.14 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.97 12.02–17.91 11.19–18.74 | 5.25 2.57–7.93 1.83–8.67 | 20.22 14.59–25.84 13.03–27.41 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.94 4.06–7.82 3.52–8.37 | 2.03 0.37–3.68 0.00–4.17 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.46 6.25–10.67 5.67–11.25 | 2.53 0.53–4.53 0.00–5.06 | 10.99 6.77–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 96% |
| Possession % | 71.76 64.97–78.55 63.30–80.22 | 27.94 21.15–34.72 19.48–36.39 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 765 698–832 679–850 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 1073 939–1207 904–1242 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.52 80.49–88.55 79.20–89.84 | 68.22 63.90–72.54 62.59–73.85 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 8.34 5.51–11.18 4.75–11.94 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 19.14 13.36–24.92 11.85–26.43 | 25% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.90–3.82 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 4.49 2.24–6.75 1.65–7.34 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 0.77 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.08 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 2.53 0.35–4.70 0.00–5.26 | 16% 23% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 5.26 3.70–6.81 3.27–7.24 | 7.44 4.44–10.43 3.63–11.24 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+