Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.102.88safe0.81–2.750.25–1.951.06–4.70safer0.56–3.000.02–2.180.58–5.18
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.4210.17safe3.89–7.612.67–6.166.56–13.77safer3.40–8.102.21–6.625.61–14.73
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2811.5526.83safe11.36–19.217.99–15.1119.34–34.32safer10.27–20.307.03–16.0717.29–36.37
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.837.5118.34safe7.89–13.774.83–10.1912.72–23.96safer7.06–14.604.09–10.9311.15–25.53
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.976.99safe2.14–5.901.32–4.623.46–10.53safer1.59–6.450.83–5.122.42–11.56
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.2410.09safe3.64–8.072.24–6.245.88–14.31safer3.07–8.651.70–6.774.77–15.41
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.8143.88safe50.01–63.6037.10–50.67safer48.35–65.2735.43–52.34
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction562430992safe495–629363–496858–1126safer477–647346–514823–1161
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction73.0370.81safe69.00–77.0566.48–75.13safer67.70–78.3565.18–76.44
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0613.7024.76safe8.22–13.9010.75–16.6418.98–30.54safer7.47–14.6610.00–17.3917.47–32.05
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.893.99safe0.95–3.270.79–2.981.74–6.25safer0.64–3.570.51–3.271.15–6.84
Yellow cards
23%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.323.74safe0.37–2.471.19–3.451.56–5.92safer0.10–2.730.90–3.741.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.726.59safe1.43–4.312.16–5.273.59–9.58safer1.05–4.691.74–5.702.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.10 0.25–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 53% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.75 3.89–7.61 3.40–8.10 | 4.42 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 10.17 6.56–13.77 5.61–14.73 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.36–19.21 10.27–20.30 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 26.83 19.34–34.32 17.29–36.37 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.06–14.60 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 18.34 12.72–23.96 11.15–25.53 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.45 | 2.97 1.32–4.62 0.83–5.12 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.70–6.77 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.81 50.01–63.60 48.35–65.27 | 43.88 37.10–50.67 35.43–52.34 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 562 495–629 477–647 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 992 858–1126 823–1161 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.03 69.00–77.05 67.70–78.35 | 70.81 66.48–75.13 65.18–76.44 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 13.70 10.75–16.64 10.00–17.39 | 24.76 18.98–30.54 17.47–32.05 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.64–3.57 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 23% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.72 2.16–5.27 1.74–5.70 | 6.59 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.