Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.352.58safe0.26–2.200.49–2.200.76–4.40safer0.01–2.450.26–2.430.28–4.88
Shots on target
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.628.74safe2.26–5.992.87–6.365.13–12.34safer1.77–6.472.41–6.824.18–13.30
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0913.4125.50safe8.16–16.019.85–16.9818.01–32.99safer7.07–17.108.89–17.9415.96–35.04
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.348.8516.19safe4.40–10.296.17–11.5310.57–21.82safer3.57–11.125.43–12.279.00–23.38
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.206.28safe1.20–4.961.55–4.852.74–9.82safer0.65–5.501.06–5.351.71–10.85
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.849.59safe2.54–6.972.84–6.845.38–13.81safer1.97–7.542.30–7.374.27–14.91
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.6447.85safe44.85–58.4341.07–54.64safer43.18–60.1039.40–56.31
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction493441933safe425–560374–507800–1067safer407–578357–525764–1103
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction68.8971.85safe64.86–72.9267.53–76.17safer63.57–74.2166.22–77.48
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7114.6626.37safe8.87–14.5511.71–17.6020.59–32.15safer8.12–15.3110.96–18.3519.08–33.66
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.773.50safe0.57–2.890.68–2.871.25–5.75safer0.27–3.190.39–3.160.66–6.34
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.173.81safe0.59–2.691.04–3.301.63–5.99safer0.32–2.950.75–3.591.07–6.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.956.07safe1.68–4.551.40–4.513.08–9.06safer1.29–4.940.97–4.932.27–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 34% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.99 1.77–6.47 | 4.62 2.87–6.36 2.41–6.82 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.09 8.16–16.01 7.07–17.10 | 13.41 9.85–16.98 8.89–17.94 | 25.50 18.01–32.99 15.96–35.04 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.34 4.40–10.29 3.57–11.12 | 8.85 6.17–11.53 5.43–12.27 | 16.19 10.57–21.82 9.00–23.38 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.06–5.35 | 6.28 2.74–9.82 1.71–10.85 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 9.59 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.91 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 51.64 44.85–58.43 43.18–60.10 | 47.85 41.07–54.64 39.40–56.31 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 493 425–560 407–578 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.89 64.86–72.92 63.57–74.21 | 71.85 67.53–76.17 66.22–77.48 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.55 8.12–15.31 | 14.66 11.71–17.60 10.96–18.35 | 26.37 20.59–32.15 19.08–33.66 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.07–6.54 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.27–9.87 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.