Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.160.822.99safe1.20–3.130.00–1.681.17–4.81safer0.94–3.380.00–1.910.69–5.29
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.199.79safe4.73–8.461.45–4.936.18–13.39safer4.24–8.950.98–5.405.23–14.35
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.259.3327.58safe14.32–22.175.77–12.8920.09–35.06safer13.23–23.264.81–13.8518.04–37.12
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.006.0219.03safe10.06–15.953.34–8.7013.40–24.65safer9.23–16.772.60–9.4411.84–26.22
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.747.44safe2.82–6.581.09–4.393.90–10.97safer2.27–7.120.60–4.892.87–12.01
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.883.7610.65safe4.67–9.101.76–5.766.43–14.86safer4.10–9.671.23–6.305.33–15.97
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.0442.97safe50.25–63.8336.19–49.76safer48.58–65.5034.52–51.43
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction524384908safe457–591318–451775–1042safer439–609300–468739–1078
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction74.4271.19safe70.39–78.4566.87–75.52safer69.10–79.7465.56–76.82
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.6724.52safe9.01–14.699.72–15.6118.74–30.30safer8.26–15.448.97–16.3617.23–31.80
Offsides
47%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.623.64safe0.86–3.180.53–2.711.38–5.89safer0.56–3.480.24–3.000.79–6.48
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.293.74safe0.41–2.511.16–3.421.57–5.92safer0.14–2.770.87–3.711.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.274.366.64safe0.84–3.712.81–5.923.64–9.63safer0.45–4.102.38–6.342.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.16 1.20–3.13 0.94–3.38 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 68% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.73–8.46 4.24–8.95 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 9.79 6.18–13.39 5.23–14.35 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.25 14.32–22.17 13.23–23.26 | 9.33 5.77–12.89 4.81–13.85 | 27.58 20.09–35.06 18.04–37.12 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.00 10.06–15.95 9.23–16.77 | 6.02 3.34–8.70 2.60–9.44 | 19.03 13.40–24.65 11.84–26.22 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.27–7.12 | 2.74 1.09–4.39 0.60–4.89 | 7.44 3.90–10.97 2.87–12.01 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.88 4.67–9.10 4.10–9.67 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.30 | 10.65 6.43–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 57.04 50.25–63.83 48.58–65.50 | 42.97 36.19–49.76 34.52–51.43 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 439–609 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.42 70.39–78.45 69.10–79.74 | 71.19 66.87–75.52 65.56–76.82 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.69 8.26–15.44 | 12.67 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 24.52 18.74–30.30 17.23–31.80 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 47% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.36 2.81–5.92 2.38–6.34 | 6.64 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.