Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.933.08safe0.18–2.121.08–2.791.26–4.91safer0.00–2.370.85–3.020.78–5.39
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.585.298.86safe1.72–5.443.54–7.035.26–12.47safer1.23–5.933.08–7.494.30–13.43
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7215.0526.77safe7.80–15.6511.48–18.6119.28–34.25safer6.70–16.7410.52–19.5717.23–36.30
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8610.7717.63safe3.92–9.818.09–13.4512.01–23.26safer3.09–10.647.35–14.1910.44–24.82
Blocked shots
26%
13%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.234.477.70safe1.35–5.112.82–6.134.17–11.24safer0.80–5.652.33–6.623.13–12.27
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.7410.18safe2.22–6.653.74–7.745.97–14.39safer1.65–7.233.21–8.274.86–15.50
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.9056.73safe37.11–50.6949.94–63.51safer35.44–52.3648.27–65.19
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction390493883safe323–457427–560750–1017safer305–476409–577714–1053
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction66.0276.21safe61.99–70.0571.89–80.54safer60.70–71.3470.58–81.85
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1612.1024.27safe9.33–15.009.16–15.0518.48–30.05safer8.57–15.768.41–15.7916.98–31.55
Offsides
32%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.103.79safe0.53–2.851.00–3.191.53–6.04safer0.23–3.150.72–3.480.94–6.63
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.943.80safe0.81–2.910.81–3.061.62–5.98safer0.55–3.180.51–3.361.06–6.53
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
56%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.636.13safe2.06–4.931.07–4.193.13–9.12safer1.67–5.320.65–4.612.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.72–5.44 1.23–5.93 | 5.29 3.54–7.03 3.08–7.49 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.43 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.72 7.80–15.65 6.70–16.74 | 15.05 11.48–18.61 10.52–19.57 | 26.77 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.86 3.92–9.81 3.09–10.64 | 10.77 8.09–13.45 7.35–14.19 | 17.63 12.01–23.26 10.44–24.82 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 4.47 2.82–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 26% 13% 60% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.22–6.65 1.65–7.23 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.27 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 43.90 37.11–50.69 35.44–52.36 | 56.73 49.94–63.51 48.27–65.19 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–476 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.02 61.99–70.05 60.70–71.34 | 76.21 71.89–80.54 70.58–81.85 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.33–15.00 8.57–15.76 | 12.10 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.79 | 24.27 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 32% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.36 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.53 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.63 1.07–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 6.13 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 56% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.