Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.263.16safe0.93–2.870.41–2.121.34–4.98safer0.68–3.120.18–2.350.86–5.46
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.664.5311.18safe4.79–8.522.79–6.277.58–14.79safer4.30–9.012.32–6.746.62–15.75
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2011.9829.19safe13.28–21.138.42–15.5521.70–36.68safer12.19–22.227.46–16.5119.65–38.73
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.767.9719.73safe8.82–14.705.29–10.6514.11–25.36safer7.99–15.534.55–11.3912.54–26.92
Blocked shots
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.357.87safe2.64–6.411.69–5.004.34–11.41safer2.10–6.951.20–5.493.30–12.45
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.8810.09safe4.00–8.431.88–5.885.88–14.31safer3.43–9.001.34–6.414.77–15.41
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.7945.83safe49.00–62.5839.05–52.62safer47.33–64.2537.38–54.29
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5694551024safe502–636388–521890–1158safer484–655371–539855–1193
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction71.8672.43safe67.83–75.8968.10–76.75safer66.54–77.1966.79–78.06
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0412.5123.55safe8.20–13.879.57–15.4617.77–29.33safer7.44–14.638.82–16.2116.26–30.84
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.633.44safe0.66–2.980.53–2.721.19–5.70safer0.36–3.280.25–3.010.60–6.29
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.183.74safe0.50–2.601.06–3.311.56–5.91safer0.23–2.870.76–3.611.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.844.357.19safe1.41–4.282.79–5.904.20–10.18safer1.02–4.672.36–6.333.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.66 4.79–8.52 4.30–9.01 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 11.18 7.58–14.79 6.62–15.75 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.20 13.28–21.13 12.19–22.22 | 11.98 8.42–15.55 7.46–16.51 | 29.19 21.70–36.68 19.65–38.73 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.76 8.82–14.70 7.99–15.53 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 19.73 14.11–25.36 12.54–26.92 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.45 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.34–6.41 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.79 49.00–62.58 47.33–64.25 | 45.83 39.05–52.62 37.38–54.29 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 569 502–636 484–655 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 1024 890–1158 855–1193 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.86 67.83–75.89 66.54–77.19 | 72.43 68.10–76.75 66.79–78.06 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.20–13.87 7.44–14.63 | 12.51 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 23.55 17.77–29.33 16.26–30.84 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.87 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.61 | 3.74 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 4.35 2.79–5.90 2.36–6.33 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 22% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.