Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.712.88safe0.20–2.130.86–2.571.05–4.70safer0.00–2.380.63–2.790.57–5.18
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.185.169.35safe2.32–6.053.42–6.915.74–12.95safer1.83–6.542.96–7.374.79–13.91
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9914.7426.73safe8.06–15.9111.18–18.3019.24–34.21safer6.97–17.0010.22–19.2617.19–36.26
Shots in box
20%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3310.3217.66safe4.39–10.287.64–13.0112.03–23.28safer3.56–11.106.91–13.7410.47–24.85
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.577.72safe1.26–5.032.92–6.234.18–11.25safer0.72–5.572.43–6.723.15–12.29
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.4910.10safe2.39–6.823.49–7.495.88–14.31safer1.82–7.392.95–8.024.78–15.42
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.9653.40safe41.17–54.7546.62–60.19safer39.50–56.4244.95–61.86
Passes
42%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction459482941safe392–527415–548808–1075safer374–545398–566772–1111
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction68.8076.34safe64.77–72.8372.01–80.66safer63.48–74.1270.70–81.97
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1311.3422.47safe8.29–13.978.40–14.2916.69–28.25safer7.54–14.727.65–15.0315.18–29.76
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.513.22safe0.55–2.870.42–2.600.97–5.48safer0.25–3.170.13–2.890.38–6.07
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.773.67safe0.85–2.950.64–2.901.49–5.85safer0.59–3.220.35–3.190.93–6.40
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.896.59safe2.26–5.131.34–4.453.60–9.58safer1.87–5.520.91–4.882.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.79 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.18 2.32–6.05 1.83–6.54 | 5.16 3.42–6.91 2.96–7.37 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.00 | 14.74 11.18–18.30 10.22–19.26 | 26.73 19.24–34.21 17.19–36.26 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.33 4.39–10.28 3.56–11.10 | 10.32 7.64–13.01 6.91–13.74 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 20% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 4.57 2.92–6.23 2.43–6.72 | 7.72 4.18–11.25 3.15–12.29 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.39–6.82 1.82–7.39 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.95–8.02 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 47.96 41.17–54.75 39.50–56.42 | 53.40 46.62–60.19 44.95–61.86 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 459 392–527 374–545 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 941 808–1075 772–1111 | 42% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.80 64.77–72.83 63.48–74.12 | 76.34 72.01–80.66 70.70–81.97 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.97 7.54–14.72 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.03 | 22.47 16.69–28.25 15.18–29.76 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.13 1.87–5.52 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.88 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 54% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.