Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.083.08safe1.03–2.960.23–1.941.25–4.90safer0.78–3.220.00–2.160.78–5.38
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.659.83safe4.32–8.041.91–5.406.23–13.44safer3.83–8.531.45–5.865.27–14.39
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2010.3427.54safe13.27–21.126.77–13.9020.05–35.02safer12.18–22.215.82–14.8618.00–37.07
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.896.5618.45safe8.95–14.833.88–9.2412.83–24.07safer8.12–15.663.14–9.9811.26–25.64
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.902.727.62safe3.02–6.791.06–4.374.09–11.16safer2.48–7.330.57–4.863.05–12.19
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.699.83safe3.92–8.351.69–5.705.62–14.04safer3.35–8.921.16–6.234.51–15.15
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.0844.14safe49.29–62.8737.35–50.92safer47.62–64.5435.68–52.59
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction531442972safe464–598375–508839–1106safer445–616358–526803–1142
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction75.1071.13safe71.07–79.1366.80–75.45safer69.77–80.4265.50–76.76
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6012.1522.75safe7.76–13.439.21–15.1016.97–28.53safer7.00–14.198.46–15.8515.46–30.04
Offsides
37%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.633.21safe0.43–2.750.54–2.720.96–5.47safer0.13–3.050.25–3.010.37–6.06
Yellow cards
28%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.883.25safe0.33–2.430.75–3.011.08–5.43safer0.06–2.690.46–3.300.52–5.99
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.926.36safe1.00–3.872.37–5.483.37–9.35safer0.61–4.261.94–5.902.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.96 0.78–3.22 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.04 3.83–8.53 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.45–5.86 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.20 13.27–21.12 12.18–22.21 | 10.34 6.77–13.90 5.82–14.86 | 27.54 20.05–35.02 18.00–37.07 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.95–14.83 8.12–15.66 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 18.45 12.83–24.07 11.26–25.64 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.90 3.02–6.79 2.48–7.33 | 2.72 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.69 1.69–5.70 1.16–6.23 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 56.08 49.29–62.87 47.62–64.54 | 44.14 37.35–50.92 35.68–52.59 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 531 464–598 445–616 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 972 839–1106 803–1142 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.10 71.07–79.13 69.77–80.42 | 71.13 66.80–75.45 65.50–76.76 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 12.15 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 22.75 16.97–28.53 15.46–30.04 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 37% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.25 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.92 2.37–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.