Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.092.78safe0.72–2.650.24–1.940.95–4.60safer0.47–2.910.01–2.170.47–5.08
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.633.969.59safe3.77–7.502.21–5.705.98–13.19safer3.28–7.991.75–6.165.03–14.15
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.179.8425.01safe11.25–19.106.28–13.4117.53–32.50safer10.16–20.195.32–14.3615.48–34.55
Shots in box
69%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.356.8216.17safe6.41–12.304.14–9.5010.55–21.79safer5.58–13.123.40–10.238.98–23.36
Blocked shots
59%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.796.68safe2.00–5.771.14–4.453.14–10.22safer1.46–6.310.65–4.942.11–11.25
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.809.34safe3.33–7.761.80–5.805.13–13.56safer2.76–8.331.26–6.334.02–14.66
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.6747.54safe45.88–59.4640.75–54.32safer44.21–61.1339.08–55.99
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5774901067safe510–644423–556933–1200safer492–663406–574897–1236
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction73.4675.24safe69.43–77.4870.91–79.56safer68.13–78.7869.60–80.87
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4411.3621.80safe7.60–13.288.42–14.3116.02–27.59safer6.85–14.047.67–15.0614.52–29.09
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.352.97safe0.45–2.770.26–2.450.71–5.22safer0.15–3.070.00–2.730.12–5.81
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.883.34safe0.40–2.500.76–3.011.16–5.52safer0.14–2.770.46–3.300.60–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.696.25safe1.12–3.992.14–5.253.26–9.24safer0.73–4.381.71–5.672.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.65 0.47–2.91 | 1.09 0.24–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.50 3.28–7.99 | 3.96 2.21–5.70 1.75–6.16 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.17 11.25–19.10 10.16–20.19 | 9.84 6.28–13.41 5.32–14.36 | 25.01 17.53–32.50 15.48–34.55 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.41–12.30 5.58–13.12 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.23 | 16.17 10.55–21.79 8.98–23.36 | 69% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.79 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 6.68 3.14–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 59% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 9.34 5.13–13.56 4.02–14.66 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.67 45.88–59.46 44.21–61.13 | 47.54 40.75–54.32 39.08–55.99 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 577 510–644 492–663 | 490 423–556 406–574 | 1067 933–1200 897–1236 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.46 69.43–77.48 68.13–78.78 | 75.24 70.91–79.56 69.60–80.87 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.28 6.85–14.04 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.06 | 21.80 16.02–27.59 14.52–29.09 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 2.97 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.60–6.07 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.69 2.14–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+