Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.142.73safe0.62–2.560.28–1.990.90–4.55safer0.37–2.810.05–2.220.42–5.03
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.958.94safe3.13–6.862.20–5.695.34–12.55safer2.64–7.351.74–6.154.38–13.50
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5211.0525.57safe10.60–18.457.49–14.6118.08–33.06safer9.50–19.546.53–15.5716.03–35.11
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.557.1216.66safe6.61–12.494.44–9.8011.04–22.29safer5.78–13.323.70–10.539.47–23.85
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.756.31safe1.67–5.441.10–4.402.77–9.84safer1.13–5.980.61–4.901.74–10.88
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.5610.53safe3.76–8.182.56–6.566.31–14.74safer3.18–8.762.02–7.095.21–15.85
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.4140.73safe52.62–66.2033.95–47.52safer50.95–67.8732.28–49.19
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction536365901safe469–604298–431767–1035safer451–622281–449732–1071
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction71.8168.02safe67.78–75.8463.70–72.35safer66.49–77.1362.39–73.66
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2213.4724.69safe8.38–14.0610.52–16.4118.90–30.47safer7.62–14.819.77–17.1617.40–31.97
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.823.49safe0.51–2.830.73–2.911.24–5.74safer0.21–3.130.44–3.200.65–6.33
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.253.87safe0.57–2.671.12–3.381.69–6.04safer0.30–2.930.83–3.671.13–6.60
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.576.25safe1.24–4.112.02–5.133.25–9.24safer0.85–4.501.59–5.552.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 8.94 5.34–12.55 4.38–13.50 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.52 10.60–18.45 9.50–19.54 | 11.05 7.49–14.61 6.53–15.57 | 25.57 18.08–33.06 16.03–35.11 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.49 5.78–13.32 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.53 | 16.66 11.04–22.29 9.47–23.85 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.61–4.90 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.18 3.18–8.76 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.02–7.09 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 59.41 52.62–66.20 50.95–67.87 | 40.73 33.95–47.52 32.28–49.19 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 536 469–604 451–622 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 901 767–1035 732–1071 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.81 67.78–75.84 66.49–77.13 | 68.02 63.70–72.35 62.39–73.66 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.62–14.81 | 13.47 10.52–16.41 9.77–17.16 | 24.69 18.90–30.47 17.40–31.97 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.87 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.57 2.02–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 6.25 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+