Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.402.65safe0.29–2.220.54–2.250.83–4.47safer0.04–2.470.31–2.480.35–4.95
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.338.50safe2.30–6.022.59–6.084.89–12.10safer1.81–6.512.12–6.543.93–13.06
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8812.4325.30safe8.95–16.808.86–15.9917.82–32.79safer7.86–17.897.90–16.9515.77–34.84
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.728.3917.11safe5.78–11.665.71–11.0711.49–22.74safer4.95–12.494.97–11.819.92–24.30
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.577.17safe1.72–5.481.92–5.223.63–10.70safer1.17–6.021.42–5.712.60–11.74
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.9310.31safe3.17–7.602.93–6.936.10–14.53safer2.60–8.172.40–7.464.99–15.63
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction45.0855.85safe38.29–51.8749.06–62.63safer36.62–53.5447.39–64.31
Passes
25%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction408487896safe341–476421–554762–1029safer323–494403–571726–1065
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction67.2373.15safe63.20–71.2568.82–77.47safer61.90–72.5567.51–78.78
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0110.7423.75safe10.17–15.847.79–13.6817.96–29.53safer9.41–16.607.05–14.4316.46–31.03
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.613.49safe0.73–3.050.52–2.701.24–5.75safer0.42–3.350.23–2.990.65–6.34
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.883.69safe0.77–2.860.75–3.001.51–5.87safer0.50–3.130.45–3.300.95–6.43
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.096.02safe1.49–4.361.54–4.653.02–9.01safer1.10–4.751.11–5.072.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.02 1.81–6.51 | 4.33 2.59–6.08 2.12–6.54 | 8.50 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.06 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.95–16.80 7.86–17.89 | 12.43 8.86–15.99 7.90–16.95 | 25.30 17.82–32.79 15.77–34.84 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.72 5.78–11.66 4.95–12.49 | 8.39 5.71–11.07 4.97–11.81 | 17.11 11.49–22.74 9.92–24.30 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.63 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 45.08 38.29–51.87 36.62–53.54 | 55.85 49.06–62.63 47.39–64.31 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 408 341–476 323–494 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 25% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.23 63.20–71.25 61.90–72.55 | 73.15 68.82–77.47 67.51–78.78 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 13.01 10.17–15.84 9.41–16.60 | 10.74 7.79–13.68 7.05–14.43 | 23.75 17.96–29.53 16.46–31.03 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.49 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.45–3.30 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.43 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+