Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.332.70safe0.39–2.330.48–2.190.87–4.52safer0.14–2.580.25–2.420.39–5.00
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.509.46safe3.10–6.822.76–6.245.86–13.07safer2.61–7.312.29–6.714.90–14.02
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7811.9426.72safe10.86–18.718.38–15.5019.23–34.21safer9.76–19.807.42–16.4617.18–36.26
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.268.3417.60safe6.32–12.205.66–11.0211.98–23.23safer5.49–13.034.92–11.7610.41–24.79
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.236.99safe1.87–5.641.58–4.893.45–10.52safer1.33–6.181.09–5.382.42–11.56
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.5110.40safe3.68–8.102.51–6.516.19–14.61safer3.10–8.681.98–7.045.08–15.72
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.6058.41safe34.81–48.3951.62–65.19safer33.14–50.0649.95–66.86
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction364526891safe297–432460–593757–1024safer279–450442–610721–1060
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction64.3773.92safe60.34–68.4069.60–78.24safer59.05–69.6968.29–79.55
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6713.2624.92safe8.83–14.5110.31–16.2019.14–30.71safer8.08–15.269.56–16.9517.64–32.21
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.893.91safe0.86–3.180.80–2.981.66–6.17safer0.56–3.480.51–3.271.07–6.76
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.923.65safe0.68–2.780.79–3.051.47–5.82safer0.41–3.050.50–3.340.91–6.38
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.266.33safe1.63–4.511.70–4.823.34–9.32safer1.25–4.891.28–5.242.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.82 2.61–7.31 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.86–18.71 9.76–19.80 | 11.94 8.38–15.50 7.42–16.46 | 26.72 19.23–34.21 17.18–36.26 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.20 5.49–13.03 | 8.34 5.66–11.02 4.92–11.76 | 17.60 11.98–23.23 10.41–24.79 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.23 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.99 3.45–10.52 2.42–11.56 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 41.60 34.81–48.39 33.14–50.06 | 58.41 51.62–65.19 49.95–66.86 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 364 297–432 279–450 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.37 60.34–68.40 59.05–69.69 | 73.92 69.60–78.24 68.29–79.55 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.08–15.26 | 13.26 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 24.92 19.14–30.71 17.64–32.21 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.05 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.65 1.47–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.51 1.25–4.89 | 3.26 1.70–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+