Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.272.79safe0.55–2.480.42–2.130.97–4.61safer0.30–2.730.19–2.360.49–5.09
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.219.09safe3.02–6.742.46–5.955.48–12.69safer2.53–7.232.00–6.414.53–13.65
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4313.2527.68safe10.50–18.359.69–16.8220.19–35.17safer9.41–19.448.73–17.7818.14–37.22
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.168.7617.92safe6.22–12.106.08–11.4412.29–23.54safer5.39–12.935.34–12.1810.73–25.11
Blocked shots
47%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.116.52safe1.53–5.291.46–4.762.98–10.05safer0.98–5.830.97–5.261.95–11.09
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.9810.32safe3.13–7.552.97–6.986.10–14.53safer2.55–8.132.44–7.515.00–15.64
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.0340.27safe53.24–66.8233.48–47.05safer51.57–68.4931.81–48.72
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction550354904safe483–617287–420770–1037safer465–635270–438734–1073
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction73.2867.12safe69.26–77.3162.79–71.44safer67.96–78.6161.49–72.75
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9812.2325.20safe10.14–15.829.28–15.1719.42–30.99safer9.38–16.578.53–15.9217.92–32.49
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.113.92safe0.65–2.971.01–3.201.66–6.17safer0.35–3.270.73–3.491.07–6.76
Yellow cards
35%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.933.64safe0.66–2.760.80–3.061.46–5.81safer0.39–3.030.51–3.350.90–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.206.10safe1.46–4.331.65–4.763.10–9.09safer1.07–4.721.22–5.192.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.73 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.53–13.65 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.44 | 13.25 9.69–16.82 8.73–17.78 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 8.76 6.08–11.44 5.34–12.18 | 17.92 12.29–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.97–5.26 | 6.52 2.98–10.05 1.95–11.09 | 47% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 4.98 2.97–6.98 2.44–7.51 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 60.03 53.24–66.82 51.57–68.49 | 40.27 33.48–47.05 31.81–48.72 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 550 483–617 465–635 | 354 287–420 270–438 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.28 69.26–77.31 67.96–78.61 | 67.12 62.79–71.44 61.49–72.75 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.98 10.14–15.82 9.38–16.57 | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 25.20 19.42–30.99 17.92–32.49 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 2.11 1.01–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.92 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.03 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.64 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 35% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.19 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+