Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.352.80safe0.47–2.410.50–2.210.97–4.62safer0.22–2.660.27–2.440.49–5.10
Shots on target
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.369.01safe2.79–6.512.62–6.105.40–12.61safer2.30–7.002.15–6.574.45–13.57
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6412.3325.97safe9.72–17.578.77–15.8918.49–33.46safer8.63–18.667.81–16.8516.43–35.51
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.558.0916.64safe5.61–11.495.41–10.7711.02–22.26safer4.78–12.324.67–11.519.45–23.83
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.207.11safe2.03–5.791.55–4.853.57–10.64safer1.48–6.331.05–5.342.54–11.68
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.6810.07safe3.18–7.612.68–6.685.86–14.28safer2.61–8.182.14–7.214.75–15.39
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.3251.01safe43.53–57.1144.23–57.80safer41.86–58.7842.56–59.47
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction469494964safe402–537428–561830–1097safer384–555410–578794–1133
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction70.2173.92safe66.18–74.2469.60–78.24safer64.88–75.5368.29–79.55
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5812.6623.24safe7.75–13.429.71–15.6017.46–29.03safer6.99–14.188.97–16.3515.96–30.53
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.223.72safe0.34–2.671.13–3.311.47–5.98safer0.04–2.970.84–3.600.88–6.57
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.923.59safe0.62–2.720.79–3.051.41–5.77safer0.35–2.980.50–3.340.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.246.20safe1.52–4.391.68–4.803.21–9.19safer1.13–4.781.26–5.222.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 39% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 4.36 2.62–6.10 2.15–6.57 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 12.33 8.77–15.89 7.81–16.85 | 25.97 18.49–33.46 16.43–35.51 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 8.09 5.41–10.77 4.67–11.51 | 16.64 11.02–22.26 9.45–23.83 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.14–7.21 | 10.07 5.86–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.32 43.53–57.11 41.86–58.78 | 51.01 44.23–57.80 42.56–59.47 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 469 402–537 384–555 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.21 66.18–74.24 64.88–75.53 | 73.92 69.60–78.24 68.29–79.55 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.75–13.42 6.99–14.18 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.97–16.35 | 23.24 17.46–29.03 15.96–30.53 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 2.22 1.13–3.31 0.84–3.60 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.