Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.292.76safe0.50–2.440.43–2.140.94–4.58safer0.25–2.690.20–2.370.46–5.06
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.069.05safe3.12–6.842.32–5.815.44–12.65safer2.63–7.331.86–6.274.48–13.61
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7812.3127.09safe10.85–18.708.75–15.8719.60–34.57safer9.76–19.797.79–16.8317.55–36.62
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.398.6017.99safe6.44–12.335.92–11.2812.37–23.61safer5.61–13.165.18–12.0210.80–25.18
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.927.68safe1.87–5.642.27–5.584.14–11.22safer1.33–6.181.78–6.073.11–12.25
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.655.0310.68safe3.44–7.873.03–7.036.47–14.90safer2.87–8.442.49–7.565.36–16.00
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.1149.15safe43.32–56.9042.37–55.94safer41.65–58.5740.70–57.61
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction512456968safe445–579389–522834–1102safer427–597372–540799–1137
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction72.3475.02safe68.31–76.3770.69–79.34safer67.02–77.6669.39–80.65
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3110.5322.85safe9.47–15.157.59–13.4817.06–28.63safer8.72–15.906.84–14.2315.56–30.13
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.363.33safe0.81–3.130.26–2.451.07–5.58safer0.51–3.430.00–2.740.48–6.17
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.703.34safe0.59–2.690.57–2.831.17–5.52safer0.33–2.960.28–3.120.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.536.31safe1.34–4.221.98–5.093.32–9.30safer0.96–4.601.55–5.512.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.84 2.63–7.33 | 4.06 2.32–5.81 1.86–6.27 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.61 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.85–18.70 9.76–19.79 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 27.09 19.60–34.57 17.55–36.62 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.44–12.33 5.61–13.16 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.18–12.02 | 17.99 12.37–23.61 10.80–25.18 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.68 4.14–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 10.68 6.47–14.90 5.36–16.00 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 50.11 43.32–56.90 41.65–58.57 | 49.15 42.37–55.94 40.70–57.61 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–597 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 968 834–1102 799–1137 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.34 68.31–76.37 67.02–77.66 | 75.02 70.69–79.34 69.39–80.65 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 12.31 9.47–15.15 8.72–15.90 | 10.53 7.59–13.48 6.84–14.23 | 22.85 17.06–28.63 15.56–30.13 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.34 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.22 0.96–4.60 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.12 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+